Seattle Pacific
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 836 (#492) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 887 (#445) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 910 (#605) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -1.9 (#195) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -8.2 (#487) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.214 (#483) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.091 (#398) | NetEff -16.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.441 (#430) | AdjNet -2.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.452 (#430) | AdjNet -1.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.469 (#437) | AdjO 64.5 | AdjD 65.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.326 (#596) | AdjO 59.8 | AdjD 67.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.320 (#511) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.314 (#518) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 871 (#414) | RD 108 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-04 | @ | Montana | L | 44 - 81 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Cal State LA | L | 63 - 75 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Cal St. Dom. Hills | W | 64 - 61 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Azusa Pacific | L | 59 - 75 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | CUI | L | 51 - 74 |
| 2025-11-28 | @ | Nova Southeastern | L | 69 - 88 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Palm Beach Atl. | W | 53 - 42 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Simon Fraser | L | 54 - 57 |
| 2025-12-05 | vs | Western Wash. | L | 43 - 67 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Westminster (UT) | L | 60 - 70 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Colorado Mesa | L | 55 - 86 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Mont. St. Billings | L | 45 - 58 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Western Ore. | W | 80 - 58 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Central Wash. | L | 56 - 88 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Northwest Nazarene | L | 62 - 72 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Alas. Anchorage | W | 101 - 98 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Alas. Fairbanks | W | 69 - 56 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Mont. St. Billings | L | 39 - 74 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Western Ore. | L | 64 - 75 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Saint Martin's | L | 47 - 67 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Layne Kearns | - | 17 | 31.4 | 14.1 | 5.5 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 3.4 | 12.4 | 8.2 | -118 | -6.6 | -33.0 | 37.4 | 24.2 | 82.5 | 1.69 | 48.7 | 41.2 |
| Grace Turley | - | 20 | 31.9 | 11.6 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 11.8 | 4.7 | -151 | -7.2 | -26.9 | 30.6 | 24.3 | 83.8 | 1.56 | 43.2 | 36.0 |
| Grace Leasure | - | 19 | 26.4 | 9.1 | 4.7 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 3.4 | 8.1 | 7.0 | -36 | -1.8 | -11.1 | 44.2 | 21.4 | 84.6 | 0.56 | 50.2 | 45.1 |
| Madison Rubino | - | 10 | 19.2 | 7.0 | 5.1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 7.1 | 6.8 | -45 | -3.8 | -24.3 | 39.4 | 33.3 | 65.0 | 0.39 | 43.9 | 40.1 |
| Haylie-Anne Ohta | - | 20 | 33.5 | 6.7 | 4.0 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 0.1 | 3.3 | 6.8 | 6.2 | -178 | -8.5 | -30.2 | 37.8 | 31.2 | 58.3 | -2.51 | 47.4 | 46.7 |
| Grace Mertes | - | 20 | 23.6 | 6.0 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 7.0 | 3.0 | -106 | -5.0 | -24.2 | 30.2 | 28.3 | 50.0 | -3.29 | 41.0 | 40.3 |
| Cascadia Yates | - | 17 | 11.2 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 20 | 1.1 | 13.6 | 40.6 | 50.0 | 84.6 | 0.56 | 48.2 | 44.2 |
| Naomi Hotchkiss | - | 20 | 10.3 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 3.0 | 2.5 | -167 | -8.0 | -86.5 | 35.6 | 0 | 46.7 | -3.24 | 37.3 | 35.6 |
| Layla Senderson | - | 15 | 9.3 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 2.4 | -0.1 | -33 | -2.1 | -24.8 | 27.8 | 23.1 | 66.7 | -0.55 | 37.5 | 36.1 |
| Kara Wilson | - | 17 | 11.8 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 0.6 | -14 | -0.8 | -7.7 | 21.1 | 16.7 | 85.7 | -1.49 | 35.1 | 25.0 |
| Jadlyn Senderson | - | 18 | 8.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 0.3 | -51 | -2.7 | -38.6 | 31.2 | 20.0 | 0.0 | -2.22 | 35.0 | 35.9 |
| Julia Lavigne | - | 12 | 7.1 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 1.0 | -53 | -4.1 | -49.2 | 17.6 | 0.0 | 33.3 | -1.92 | 20.4 | 17.6 |
| Ava Mai | - | 3 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 53.2 | 100.0 |
| Pippa Krieger | - | 1 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jasmine Pho | - | 3 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | -2 | -0.7 | -6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.29 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG