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Cal State LA

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Cal State LA
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1236 (#31) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1209 (#44) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1132 (#49) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +18.9 (#52) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +11.4 (#192) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.715 (#283) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +10.2 More → 0.790 (#191) NetEff +10.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +16.1 More → 0.865 (#238) AdjNet +16.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +16.3 More → 0.873 (#239) AdjNet +16.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.1 | AdjD 63.3 More → 0.728 (#228) AdjO 74.1 | AdjD 63.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.6 | AdjD 63.9 More → 0.743 (#56) AdjO 75.6 | AdjD 63.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.763 (#129) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.767 (#122) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 100 | GP 21 More → 1201 (#45) RD 100 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ Seattle Pacific - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 @ Western Wash. - Incomplete score
2025-11-18 @ Azusa Pacific - Incomplete score
2025-12-04 @ Cal Poly Pomona - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 @ CSUSB - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 @ Pepperdine - Incomplete score
2025-12-15 vs Central Wash. - Incomplete score
2025-12-19 vs San Fran. St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-21 vs Cal St. East Bay - Incomplete score
2026-01-02 @ Chico St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 vs UC Merced - Incomplete score
2026-01-15 @ Cal St. San Marcos - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 @ Cal St. Monterey Bay - Incomplete score
2026-01-22 vs Cal St. Dom. Hills - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 @ Cal St. Dom. Hills - Incomplete score
2026-01-29 vs Cal Poly Humboldt - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 vs Chico St. - Incomplete score
2026-02-05 @ Cal St. East Bay - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ San Fran. St. - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nevaeh Asiasi - 18 37.4 17.3 9.3 3.7 2.7 0.7 3.5 15.1 15.1 232 11.6 26.8 43.4 37.5 69.3 1.66 50.2 46.1
Sofia Fidelus - 18 36.7 14.7 4.9 5.3 1.7 0.6 3.2 13.6 10.4 204 10.2 23.2 39.3 36.1 73.7 -0.33 49.1 45.5
Amaya Fuentes - 18 25.4 10.2 5.4 1.1 0.7 1.1 1.1 8.2 9.3 121 6.0 21.4 51.0 33.9 73.7 0.93 59.2 57.8
Ariyah Smith - 16 31.5 9.0 3.3 5.2 1.9 0.1 2.7 8.1 8.8 132 7.3 16.7 38.8 27.9 69.6 2.11 48.2 43.4
Mariah Blake - 18 17.9 7.7 6.2 1.1 1.1 0.5 1.2 7.6 7.7 129 6.5 35.6 40.1 16.0 75.0 1.63 45.7 41.6
Ronyae Jackson - 18 19.6 7.2 4.7 0.8 1.0 0.6 1.3 6.8 6.2 121 6.0 25.3 38.2 20.0 75.6 1.36 46.1 40.2
Kyara Walter - 18 15.6 6.1 1.8 0.7 0.8 0.1 0.5 4.0 5.1 98 4.9 30.8 52.8 48.0 76.9 -0.09 70.8 69.4
Gabriella Rones - 10 13.2 5.4 1.3 0.4 0.6 0.0 0.3 5.3 2.1 69 5.8 32.8 35.8 31.8 100.0 0.99 50.1 49.1
Mary Cotton - 14 11.7 2.6 3.0 0.5 1.0 0.7 0.6 2.9 4.3 56 3.5 28.4 36.6 9.1 66.7 1.05 41.1 37.8
Mason Oberg - 1 14.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 -2.0 1 1.0 1.3 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Jaden Newman - 9 2.4 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 0.1 8 0.9 40.1 33.3 33.3 0 - 45.8 45.8
Brianna Thomas - 5 2.9 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.0 1.0 -8 -1.6 -177.8 40.0 0.0 0 -0.69 40.0 40.0
Jocelynn Townsend - 11 2.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.0 -6 -0.5 -23.6 20.0 0 0.0 -3.53 18.4 20.0
Nia Johnson - 1 2.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -2.0 32 4.0 22.1 0 0 0 1.27 0 0
Paige Worthem - 1 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG