Western Ore.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 992 (#285) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1055 (#183) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 954 (#553) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +9.0 (#86) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -1.7 (#393) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.470 (#372) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.802 (#183) | NetEff +11.8 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.278 (#339) | NetEff -8.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.541 (#390) | AdjNet +1.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.552 (#388) | AdjNet +1.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.516 (#394) | AdjO 66.7 | AdjD 66.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.485 (#404) | AdjO 61.1 | AdjD 61.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.547 (#313) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.518 (#335) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 994 (#254) | RD 96 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Corban | L | 79 - 82 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Walla Walla | W | 91 - 51 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Willamette | W | 88 - 81 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Evergreen St. | W | 104 - 77 |
| 2025-11-28 | @ | Point Loma | L | 67 - 93 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Cal St. San Marcos | L | 66 - 68 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Alas. Fairbanks | W | 82 - 24 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Alas. Anchorage | W | 77 - 69 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Cal Poly Humboldt | W | 74 - 71 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Idaho | L | 63 - 91 |
| 2026-01-01 | @ | Western Wash. | L | 57 - 62 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Simon Fraser | W | 68 - 49 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Seattle Pacific | L | 58 - 80 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Saint Martin's | L | 39 - 49 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Northwest Nazarene | L | 33 - 65 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Central Wash. | L | 49 - 57 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Simon Fraser | W | 67 - 63 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Western Wash. | L | 44 - 66 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Seattle Pacific | W | 75 - 64 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Mont. St. Billings | L | 48 - 85 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylani Rookstool | - | 20 | 34.2 | 16.0 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 11.0 | 10.2 | -38 | -1.9 | -8.4 | 45.9 | 38.9 | 83.1 | 0.15 | 62.4 | 57.0 |
| Enid Vaifanua | - | 17 | 30.0 | 11.7 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 10.0 | 7.5 | -34 | -2.0 | -17.3 | 43.5 | 30.6 | 69.2 | -2.91 | 51.6 | 47.9 |
| Triniti Youngblood | - | 20 | 25.8 | 9.2 | 5.0 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 8.7 | 7.2 | -73 | -3.6 | -23.9 | 38.7 | 30.0 | 78.7 | -2.23 | 47.2 | 42.2 |
| Ciona Wells | - | 20 | 30.1 | 9.2 | 2.9 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 9.9 | 5.8 | -52 | -2.6 | -15.4 | 31.3 | 31.2 | 60.0 | -1.8 | 42.4 | 40.2 |
| Danyell Booker | - | 18 | 14.1 | 6.4 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 5.9 | 4.6 | -42 | -2.1 | -22.2 | 44.9 | 0.0 | 86.4 | -0.06 | 49.3 | 44.9 |
| Natalie Brown | - | 20 | 21.5 | 4.8 | 5.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 5.2 | 5.2 | -33 | -1.6 | -10.5 | 43.7 | 0.0 | 62.5 | 2.1 | 44.6 | 43.7 |
| Mya India Thomas | - | 18 | 15.4 | 4.6 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 5.1 | 2.6 | -73 | -4.1 | -40.3 | 32.6 | 29.0 | 57.1 | -2.16 | 43.1 | 42.4 |
| Salma Youngblood | - | 20 | 21.8 | 4.2 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 4.6 | 3.2 | -75 | -3.8 | -19.9 | 33.7 | 25.8 | 63.6 | -0.59 | 41.3 | 38.0 |
| Kylie Robertson | - | 11 | 8.3 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 9 | 0.9 | 69.7 | 33.3 | 34.8 | 0.0 | -1.53 | 42.1 | 45.5 |
| Jaelyn Jackson | - | 11 | 6.1 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 0.4 | -25 | -2.5 | -140.2 | 33.3 | 28.6 | 100.0 | -1.61 | 44.0 | 38.9 |
| Destiny Mora Lopez | - | 14 | 5.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 1.1 | -40 | -2.9 | -44.7 | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.97 | 53.3 | 50.0 |
| Selai Niu | - | 9 | 5.1 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.0 | -30 | -3.8 | -51.3 | 33.3 | 0 | 25.0 | -2.4 | 31.5 | 33.3 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG