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Western Ore.

Also known as: Western Ore.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 992 (#285) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1055 (#183) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 954 (#553) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +9.0 (#86) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -1.7 (#393) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.470 (#372) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +11.8 More → 0.802 (#183) NetEff +11.8
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -8.9 More → 0.278 (#339) NetEff -8.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +1.4 More → 0.541 (#390) AdjNet +1.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +1.8 More → 0.552 (#388) AdjNet +1.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.7 | AdjD 66.0 More → 0.516 (#394) AdjO 66.7 | AdjD 66.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.1 | AdjD 61.7 More → 0.485 (#404) AdjO 61.1 | AdjD 61.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.547 (#313) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.518 (#335) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 96 | GP 22 More → 994 (#254) RD 96 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-15 vs Corban L 79 - 82
2025-11-18 @ Walla Walla W 91 - 51
2025-11-21 @ Willamette W 88 - 81
2025-11-22 vs Evergreen St. W 104 - 77
2025-11-28 @ Point Loma L 67 - 93
2025-11-29 @ Cal St. San Marcos L 66 - 68
2025-12-04 vs Alas. Fairbanks W 82 - 24
2025-12-06 vs Alas. Anchorage W 77 - 69
2025-12-13 @ Cal Poly Humboldt W 74 - 71
2025-12-20 @ Idaho L 63 - 91
2026-01-01 @ Western Wash. L 57 - 62
2026-01-03 @ Simon Fraser W 68 - 49
2026-01-10 vs Seattle Pacific L 58 - 80
2026-01-17 vs Saint Martin's L 39 - 49
2026-01-22 @ Northwest Nazarene L 33 - 65
2026-01-24 @ Central Wash. L 49 - 57
2026-01-29 vs Simon Fraser W 67 - 63
2026-01-31 vs Western Wash. L 44 - 66
2026-02-05 @ Seattle Pacific W 75 - 64
2026-02-07 @ Mont. St. Billings L 48 - 85

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kylani Rookstool - 20 34.2 16.0 4.4 1.4 1.0 0.2 1.9 11.0 10.2 -38 -1.9 -8.4 45.9 38.9 83.1 0.15 62.4 57.0
Enid Vaifanua - 17 30.0 11.7 4.3 2.2 1.0 0.1 1.8 10.0 7.5 -34 -2.0 -17.3 43.5 30.6 69.2 -2.91 51.6 47.9
Triniti Youngblood - 20 25.8 9.2 5.0 2.2 1.4 0.1 2.0 8.7 7.2 -73 -3.6 -23.9 38.7 30.0 78.7 -2.23 47.2 42.2
Ciona Wells - 20 30.1 9.2 2.9 3.4 1.1 0.5 1.2 9.9 5.8 -52 -2.6 -15.4 31.3 31.2 60.0 -1.8 42.4 40.2
Danyell Booker - 18 14.1 6.4 4.0 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.9 5.9 4.6 -42 -2.1 -22.2 44.9 0.0 86.4 -0.06 49.3 44.9
Natalie Brown - 20 21.5 4.8 5.1 0.8 0.6 0.0 0.8 5.2 5.2 -33 -1.6 -10.5 43.7 0.0 62.5 2.1 44.6 43.7
Mya India Thomas - 18 15.4 4.6 2.8 0.9 0.5 0.1 1.2 5.1 2.6 -73 -4.1 -40.3 32.6 29.0 57.1 -2.16 43.1 42.4
Salma Youngblood - 20 21.8 4.2 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.8 4.6 3.2 -75 -3.8 -19.9 33.7 25.8 63.6 -0.59 41.3 38.0
Kylie Robertson - 11 8.3 2.7 1.8 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.6 3.0 1.5 9 0.9 69.7 33.3 34.8 0.0 -1.53 42.1 45.5
Jaelyn Jackson - 11 6.1 1.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.5 1.6 0.4 -25 -2.5 -140.2 33.3 28.6 100.0 -1.61 44.0 38.9
Destiny Mora Lopez - 14 5.8 1.3 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.1 -40 -2.9 -44.7 50.0 0 100.0 -0.97 53.3 50.0
Selai Niu - 9 5.1 0.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 1.0 -30 -3.8 -51.3 33.3 0 25.0 -2.4 31.5 33.3

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG