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Western Ore.

Also known as: Western Ore.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1004 (#263) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1027 (#244) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 954 (#553) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +4.8 (#167) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -1.7 (#393) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.470 (#372) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +11.8 More → 0.802 (#183) NetEff +11.8
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -8.9 More → 0.278 (#339) NetEff -8.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +1.4 More → 0.541 (#390) AdjNet +1.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +1.8 More → 0.552 (#388) AdjNet +1.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.7 | AdjD 66.0 More → 0.516 (#394) AdjO 66.7 | AdjD 66.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.1 | AdjD 61.7 More → 0.485 (#404) AdjO 61.1 | AdjD 61.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.546 (#314) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.518 (#335) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 96 | GP 22 More → 1008 (#240) RD 96 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-15 vs Corban - Incomplete score
2025-11-18 @ Walla Walla - Incomplete score
2025-11-21 @ Willamette - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 vs Evergreen St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-28 @ Point Loma - Incomplete score
2025-11-29 @ Cal St. San Marcos - Incomplete score
2025-12-04 vs Alas. Fairbanks - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 vs Alas. Anchorage - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 @ Cal Poly Humboldt - Incomplete score
2025-12-20 @ Idaho - Incomplete score
2026-01-01 @ Western Wash. - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 @ Simon Fraser - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 vs Seattle Pacific - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 vs Saint Martin's - Incomplete score
2026-01-22 @ Northwest Nazarene - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 @ Central Wash. - Incomplete score
2026-01-29 vs Simon Fraser - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 vs Western Wash. - Incomplete score
2026-02-05 @ Seattle Pacific - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ Mont. St. Billings - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kylani Rookstool - 19 34.4 16.4 4.4 1.4 1.1 0.2 1.9 11.1 10.5 -38 -1.9 -8.4 46.0 39.3 83.1 3.03 62.8 57.3
Enid Vaifanua - 16 29.8 11.7 4.3 2.1 1.1 0.1 1.8 9.8 7.6 -34 -2.0 -17.3 43.9 31.1 68.6 -0.21 52.1 48.4
Ciona Wells - 19 30.3 9.5 2.9 3.3 1.1 0.5 1.2 10.1 6.1 -52 -2.6 -15.4 32.5 32.7 56.8 0.07 43.4 41.6
Triniti Youngblood - 19 26.1 9.3 5.1 2.3 1.3 0.2 1.9 8.7 7.4 -73 -3.6 -23.9 38.8 30.6 78.7 -1.11 47.4 42.1
Danyell Booker - 17 13.8 5.9 4.0 0.6 0.4 0.0 1.0 5.7 4.3 -42 -2.1 -22.2 42.3 0.0 86.4 -0.45 47.3 42.3
Natalie Brown - 19 21.8 4.8 5.3 0.8 0.6 0.0 0.8 5.0 5.7 -33 -1.6 -10.5 45.3 0.0 62.5 0.96 46.2 45.3
Mya India Thomas - 17 15.2 4.6 2.8 1.0 0.5 0.1 1.2 5.2 2.7 -73 -4.1 -40.3 33.0 28.8 57.1 -3.81 43.4 42.6
Salma Youngblood - 19 21.7 4.2 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.7 4.7 3.2 -75 -3.8 -19.9 32.6 26.7 63.6 -1.64 40.5 37.1
Kylie Robertson - 10 8.8 2.7 2.0 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.7 3.2 1.5 9 0.9 69.7 31.2 31.8 0.0 0.36 39.0 42.2
Destiny Mora Lopez - 13 6.2 1.4 1.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.2 -40 -2.9 -44.7 50.0 0 100.0 -1.6 53.3 50.0
Jaelyn Jackson - 10 6.1 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.6 1.5 0.1 -25 -2.5 -140.2 26.7 28.6 100.0 -3.0 39.8 33.3
Selai Niu - 8 5.5 0.4 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.1 -30 -3.8 -51.3 33.3 0 25.0 -2.43 31.5 33.3

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG