Colorado Mesa
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1391 (#1) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1397 (#4) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1263 (#2) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +27.2 (#23) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +28.9 (#37) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.942 (#160) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.984 (#81) | NetEff +30.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.981 (#98) | AdjNet +33.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.983 (#100) | AdjNet +34.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.873 (#107) | AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 52.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.897 (#4) | AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 47.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.949 (#9) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.947 (#5) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1380 (#4) | RD 115 | GP 26 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-01 | vs | Simon Fraser | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-02 | @ | Saint Martin's | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | West Tex. A&M | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-16 | @ | UT Permian Basin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Tex. A&M-Kingsville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Alas. Fairbanks | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | South Dakota Mines | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-28 | vs | Simon Fraser | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Sul Ross St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | UCCS | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Colo. Christian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Colo. Sch. of Mines | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | Northwest Nazarene | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Seattle Pacific | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Regis (CO) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Adams St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-13 | @ | Western Colo. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Westminster (UT) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Black Hills St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Chadron St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | CSU Pueblo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | UCCS | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | MSU Denver | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Regis (CO) | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Reed | - | 23 | 30.6 | 20.0 | 10.0 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 13.2 | 19.8 | 429 | 17.9 | 55.9 | 59.9 | 16.7 | 79.5 | 6.46 | 64.7 | 60.4 |
| Mason Rowland | - | 23 | 31.1 | 17.5 | 6.0 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 14.1 | 12.6 | 403 | 16.1 | 55.7 | 41.8 | 35.6 | 81.4 | 4.69 | 54.8 | 49.8 |
| Mykaela Moore | - | 23 | 32.4 | 8.8 | 5.0 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 7.0 | 10.9 | 402 | 16.1 | 47.3 | 46.3 | 25.0 | 78.2 | 4.7 | 54.5 | 49.4 |
| Hallie Clark | - | 23 | 23.3 | 8.5 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 7.8 | 5.3 | 235 | 9.4 | 35.4 | 39.1 | 33.7 | 71.4 | -0.27 | 50.4 | 47.8 |
| Cayden King | - | 22 | 17.4 | 5.6 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 5.3 | 4.1 | 134 | 5.6 | 39.8 | 37.6 | 28.6 | 66.7 | 0.36 | 48.1 | 45.3 |
| Jenna Krise | - | 10 | 13.2 | 4.7 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 2.9 | 4.4 | 64 | 5.8 | 36.3 | 58.6 | 46.7 | 75.0 | -1.53 | 72.3 | 70.7 |
| Macy Larsen | - | 4 | 15.3 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 11 | 2.2 | 6.7 | 29.2 | 8.3 | 100.0 | -0.67 | 34.2 | 31.2 |
| Brooke Harding | - | 16 | 7.5 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 25 | 1.6 | 50.9 | 36.2 | 39.1 | 100.0 | -1.5 | 48.8 | 45.7 |
| Tamryn Blom | - | 23 | 19.3 | 2.8 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 4.3 | 4.0 | 126 | 5.0 | 28.1 | 24.0 | 17.5 | 53.8 | -2.66 | 30.7 | 29.0 |
| Sedonia Isenbart | - | 15 | 5.2 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2.2 | -21 | -1.2 | -31.0 | 56.5 | 40.0 | 75.0 | -0.75 | 71.6 | 69.6 |
| Brooke Eyre | - | 23 | 18.5 | 2.1 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 5.3 | 179 | 7.2 | 38.3 | 47.6 | 41.2 | 50.0 | 0.16 | 56.0 | 56.0 |
| Devin Miller | - | 12 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.8 | -22 | -1.8 | -45.1 | 27.8 | 41.7 | 66.7 | -2.93 | 46.0 | 41.7 |
| Joslyn Spires | - | 14 | 5.2 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.7 | -0.1 | -24 | -1.5 | -36.0 | 25.0 | 20.0 | 100.0 | -3.69 | 38.8 | 33.3 |
| Brooke Mansanares | - | 16 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.4 | -33 | -2.1 | -54.1 | 26.3 | 0.0 | 83.3 | -2.47 | 34.7 | 26.3 |
| Kailey Page | - | 15 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 0.3 | -12 | -0.8 | -34.1 | 20.0 | 18.2 | 0.0 | -0.3 | 24.5 | 25.0 |
| Evan Hamey | - | 7 | 4.7 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 15 | 1.9 | 50.3 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | 2.67 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Trinity Schlueter | - | 1 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Sheridan Liggett | - | 2 | 6.8 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | -2 | -1.0 | -4.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG