🐻⬇️🏀

Western Wash.

Also known as: Western Wash.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1143 (#59) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1189 (#46) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1139 (#45) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +19.1 (#25) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +9.3 (#225) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.809 (#238) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +12.3 More → 0.830 (#168) NetEff +12.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +23.0 More → 0.934 (#173) AdjNet +23.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +23.2 More → 0.939 (#173) AdjNet +23.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 56.6 More → 0.794 (#171) AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 56.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 54.9 More → 0.734 (#59) AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 54.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.778 (#119) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.777 (#108) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 96 | GP 27 More → 1229 (#33) RD 96 | GP 27

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-01 @ Minot St. W 69 - 64
2025-11-02 vs Wis.-Parkside W 54 - 49
2025-11-14 @ Cal St. Dom. Hills W 68 - 46
2025-11-15 vs Cal State LA L 78 - 79
2025-11-18 vs Western Ore. L 51 - 91
2025-11-21 @ CUI W 86 - 57
2025-11-22 @ Azusa Pacific W 82 - 65
2025-11-28 vs Mary W 72 - 63
2025-11-29 vs San Fran. St. W 76 - 59
2025-12-03 @ Mont. St. Billings W 59 - 56
2025-12-05 @ Seattle Pacific W 67 - 43
2025-12-19 vs Eastern N.M. W 44 - 40
2025-12-20 @ N.M. Highlands L 68 - 71
2025-12-20 @ Central Wash. L 28 - 112
2026-01-01 vs Western Ore. W 62 - 57
2026-01-03 vs Saint Martin's W 77 - 60
2026-01-10 @ Central Wash. L 58 - 75
2026-01-15 vs Alas. Fairbanks W 72 - 47
2026-01-15 @ Erskine W 84 - 82
2026-01-17 vs Alas. Anchorage W 81 - 65
2026-01-24 vs Simon Fraser W 66 - 40
2026-01-29 @ Saint Martin's L 48 - 56
2026-01-31 @ Western Ore. W 66 - 44
2026-02-05 vs Central Wash. W 66 - 44
2026-02-07 vs Northwest Nazarene W 82 - 54

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ori Galloway - 1 38.3 40.0 8.0 2.0 8.0 0.0 11.0 21.0 26.0 - - - 76.2 0 57.1 - 73.6 76.2
Olivia Hodges - 22 33.0 16.4 11.9 1.0 0.5 0.5 1.6 10.4 18.3 86 3.7 12.6 55.0 0 75.5 4.47 61.7 55.0
Libby Stump - 22 33.4 14.0 4.0 4.2 1.4 0.4 2.0 12.2 9.7 161 6.7 20.8 43.1 27.2 85.5 5.57 51.8 47.2
Briah Clarke - 1 22.9 12.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 3.0 10.0 4.0 - - - 50.0 100.0 50.0 - 55.1 55.0
Demi Dykstra - 22 34.3 11.5 3.6 2.6 1.4 0.5 2.0 10.4 7.2 145 6.0 20.8 40.4 38.1 66.0 3.15 50.7 48.5
Aspen Garrison - 22 23.8 9.2 5.0 1.7 0.8 1.4 2.5 8.0 7.5 158 6.6 25.4 49.4 0.0 67.4 1.94 52.1 49.4
Tatyana Lewis - 1 29.4 9.0 11.0 5.0 4.0 0.0 5.0 13.0 11.0 - - - 30.8 0.0 50.0 - 32.4 30.8
Jaylo Bello - 2 38.0 8.5 2.5 2.5 0.5 0.0 5.0 14.5 -5.5 - - - 17.2 21.1 50.0 - 26.9 24.1
Meghan Rasmussen - 2 32.0 8.5 4.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 2.0 5.5 6.0 - - - 54.5 80.0 50.0 - 71.5 72.7
Brooklyn Coe - 2 32.2 8.0 1.5 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 11.0 -2.5 - - - 27.3 16.7 100.0 - 35.0 31.8
Ally Haslam - 1 17.0 8.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 7.0 -1.0 - - - 42.9 50.0 0 - 57.1 57.1
Joy Haltom - 22 22.9 7.2 4.4 1.0 1.0 0.7 1.9 5.8 6.5 59 2.5 12.8 43.8 32.4 63.2 -0.56 54.6 52.3
Allison Haslam - 1 26.7 7.0 7.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 7.0 7.0 4.0 - - - 28.6 28.6 50.0 - 44.4 42.9
Ellie Martin - 1 33.4 7.0 4.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 11.0 2.0 47 2.1 13.6 9.1 20.0 66.7 0.37 25.7 13.6
Hailey Ripley - 1 19.3 7.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 4.0 - - - 50.0 25.0 0 - 58.3 58.3
Sidney Folkenberg - 2 34.7 5.5 4.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 2.5 9.0 0.0 - - - 27.8 0.0 50.0 - 29.1 27.8
Nesha Oliver - 1 17.5 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 0.0 - - - 40.0 25.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Rakiyah Jackson - 19 21.3 4.6 3.6 1.0 0.8 0.7 2.0 4.7 4.0 89 4.0 21.6 27.8 12.5 68.0 -1.07 38.8 29.4
Kiera Littlejohn - 1 27.8 4.0 7.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 3.0 14.0 - - - 66.7 0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Vivienne Berrett - 22 8.6 3.3 1.7 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.6 2.3 10 0.4 5.7 52.6 0 65.0 1.25 55.5 52.6
Maddie Dietrich - 1 9.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Eden Sander - 22 14.3 2.1 1.8 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.7 2.2 2.4 52 2.2 15.8 33.3 23.8 69.2 0.62 42.8 38.5
Anna VanderYacht - 20 6.7 0.4 1.1 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.2 19 0.9 21.7 20.0 0.0 28.6 1.2 22.1 20.0
Victoria Nguyen - 17 5.7 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.8 0.3 0.5 -19 -1.1 -20.5 0.0 0.0 33.3 1.08 19.5 0.0
Elizabeth Swift - 13 3.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 -3 -0.2 -7.3 16.7 20.0 0 -0.33 25.0 25.0
Tessa Duncan - 2 16.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 -2.5 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Natalia Jimenez - 1 3.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Delaney Gunther - 2 18.6 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.5 2.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Twig Barnes - 1 11.5 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG