Alas. Fairbanks
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 674 (#283) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 617 (#292) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 788 (#678) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -23.0 (#292) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -25.3 (#627) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.043 (#287) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.002 (#473) | NetEff -46.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.106 (#281) | AdjNet -18.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.103 (#281) | AdjNet -18.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.245 (#283) | AdjO 62.9 | AdjD 75.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.098 (#693) | AdjO 51.9 | AdjD 76.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.073 (#672) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.073 (#676) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 592 (#515) | RD 134 | GP 20 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Hawaii Hilo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-16 | vs | Master's | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Westminster (UT) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Colorado Mesa | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-28 | @ | MSU Moorhead | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | St. Cloud St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Western Ore. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-18 | @ | Azusa Pacific | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Biola | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-01 | vs | Central Wash. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Alas. Anchorage | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Western Wash. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Simon Fraser | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Mont. St. Billings | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Seattle Pacific | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Northwest Nazarene | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Central Wash. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-12 | vs | Simon Fraser | L | 54 - 92 |
| 2026-02-14 | vs | Western Wash. | L | 28 - 60 |
| 2026-02-19 | @ | Seattle Pacific | L | 63 - 78 |
| 2026-02-21 | @ | Mont. St. Billings | L | 53 - 80 |
| 2026-02-26 | vs | Saint Martin's | L | 59 - 99 |
| 2026-02-28 | vs | Western Ore. | L | 58 - 73 |
2026 Roster
No roster data available for this season.