Nova Southeastern
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1196 (#49) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1276 (#19) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1160 (#32) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +16.4 (#64) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +20.3 (#86) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.923 (#174) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.983 (#84) | NetEff +28.9 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.032 (#430) | NetEff -27.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.971 (#120) | AdjNet +30.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.973 (#124) | AdjNet +30.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.865 (#115) | AdjO 75.9 | AdjD 55.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.834 (#18) | AdjO 78.4 | AdjD 60.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.889 (#36) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.888 (#30) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1304 (#13) | RD 114 | GP 24 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-06 | vs | Dist. Columbia | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-09 | vs | Virginia St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | AUM | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Montevallo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Fla. National | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Tampa | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | St. Thomas (FL) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-28 | vs | Seattle Pacific | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Georgian Court | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-01 | vs | Shaw | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Barry | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Embry-Riddle (FL) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Palm Beach Atl. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Elizabeth City St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Lincoln (PA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-31 | @ | Eckerd | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Fla. Southern | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Rollins | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Florida Tech | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Lynn | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Saint Leo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Palm Beach Atl. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Eckerd | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Tampa | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Barry | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridie McCann | - | 22 | 28.6 | 15.2 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 14.7 | 5.5 | 298 | 14.2 | 63.1 | 37.7 | 35.9 | 80.6 | 1.41 | 49.1 | 47.1 |
| Kaliyah Morales | - | 22 | 26.8 | 14.0 | 2.5 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 0.1 | 2.9 | 12.2 | 7.8 | 288 | 13.7 | 80.0 | 39.8 | 40.7 | 64.5 | 2.05 | 48.7 | 44.2 |
| Taydra Simpson | - | 20 | 27.0 | 10.0 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 8.7 | 11.1 | 298 | 15.7 | 119.6 | 37.9 | 31.5 | 84.6 | 5.58 | 52.3 | 48.0 |
| Markayla Holland | - | 22 | 27.5 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 1.9 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 8.4 | 12.4 | 338 | 16.1 | 85.0 | 45.4 | 23.1 | 66.7 | 4.16 | 51.1 | 47.0 |
| Celeste Reed | - | 22 | 18.7 | 7.6 | 5.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 5.8 | 8.6 | 170 | 8.1 | 66.9 | 43.8 | 75.0 | 65.8 | 1.18 | 51.3 | 44.9 |
| Hailey Chiles | - | 22 | 19.1 | 7.6 | 4.7 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 6.8 | 6.0 | 23 | 3.8 | 7.5 | 51.3 | 14.3 | 52.2 | 0.21 | 52.5 | 52.0 |
| Kyrstin Green | - | 7 | 15.7 | 6.4 | 0.9 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.1 | 3.0 | 107 | 15.3 | 73.5 | 27.9 | 26.1 | 75.0 | 3.9 | 43.4 | 34.9 |
| Chynna Mattair | - | 22 | 11.9 | 5.2 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 10 | 1.7 | 4.5 | 38.0 | 26.7 | 75.5 | -0.3 | 50.6 | 42.4 |
| Unique Horton | - | 22 | 13.8 | 3.8 | 7.0 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 2.8 | 9.0 | 115 | 5.5 | 64.4 | 51.6 | 0 | 43.5 | -1.26 | 51.1 | 51.6 |
| Anaia Hoard | - | 4 | 9.3 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 3.5 | 4.5 | - | - | - | 35.7 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -1.21 | 43.7 | 39.3 |
| Katelynn Hagy | - | 21 | 7.6 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 34 | 1.7 | 20.4 | 41.5 | 40.6 | 57.1 | -4.01 | 54.9 | 53.8 |
| Brianna Williams | - | 19 | 7.7 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 55 | 2.9 | 54.9 | 26.8 | 20.0 | 75.0 | -1.08 | 37.0 | 29.5 |
| Bree Williams | - | 3 | 8.1 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 55 | 2.9 | 54.9 | 25.0 | 20.0 | 100.0 | -1.08 | 39.4 | 31.2 |
| Sophia Zoerb | - | 9 | 6.2 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 0.0 | -16 | -1.8 | -146.6 | 25.0 | 8.3 | 40.0 | -1.29 | 29.3 | 27.5 |
| Zoe Adams | - | 13 | 6.4 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 57 | 5.2 | 271.4 | 20.0 | 14.3 | 57.1 | 1.96 | 32.5 | 22.5 |
| Layla Cannon | - | 13 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 0.3 | -2 | -0.2 | -7.4 | 23.1 | 14.3 | 100.0 | -3.02 | 30.6 | 25.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG