Cal St. Dom. Hills
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More β | 898 (#452) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More β | 833 (#488) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More β | 1026 (#212) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More β | -3.9 (#214) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More β | -7.0 (#470) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More β | 0.823 (#229) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More β | 0.108 (#395) | NetEff -15.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More β | 0.901 (#204) | AdjNet +19.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More β | 0.907 (#206) | AdjNet +19.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More β | 0.757 (#206) | AdjO 74.1 | AdjD 61.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More β | 0.392 (#532) | AdjO 63.7 | AdjD 68.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More β | 0.354 (#480) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More β | 0.368 (#476) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More β | 966 (#287) | RD 102 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Western Wash. | L | 46 - 68 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Seattle Pacific | L | 61 - 64 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Point Loma | L | 48 - 73 |
| 2025-11-26 | vs | Westmont | L | 55 - 90 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Azusa Pacific | L | 77 - 79 |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | CSUSB | W | 75 - 64 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Cal Poly Pomona | L | 37 - 59 |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Cal St. East Bay | L | 65 - 75 |
| 2025-12-21 | vs | San Fran. St. | W | 78 - 66 |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Cal Poly Humboldt | L | 55 - 91 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Stanislaus St. | W | 79 - 74 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Cal St. Monterey Bay | L | 49 - 69 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Cal St. San Marcos | W | 82 - 76 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Cal State LA | L | 83 - 87 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Cal State LA | L | 65 - 78 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Chico St. | W | 64 - 57 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Cal Poly Humboldt | W | 51 - 49 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | San Fran. St. | W | 62 - 60 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Cal St. East Bay | W | 93 - 76 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryanne Lopez-Wood | - | 19 | 28.5 | 10.3 | 5.2 | 4.2 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 2.9 | 10.0 | 9.6 | -124 | -5.9 | -21.9 | 38.9 | 14.3 | 62.2 | -0.05 | 44.0 | 39.5 |
| Tiara Jones | - | 17 | 19.1 | 9.9 | 4.5 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 7.8 | 7.6 | -46 | -2.6 | -15.0 | 48.5 | 0.0 | 75.9 | 0.12 | 54.3 | 48.5 |
| Anela Thomas | - | 18 | 30.1 | 9.2 | 5.2 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 3.1 | 8.4 | 6.7 | -102 | -5.1 | -20.7 | 42.1 | 23.8 | 68.8 | 0.91 | 47.9 | 43.8 |
| Zanna Hurst | - | 19 | 27.1 | 7.8 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 8.0 | 2.4 | -147 | -7.0 | -32.3 | 34.2 | 31.6 | 77.8 | -1.36 | 46.6 | 44.4 |
| Kylee Edgar | - | 18 | 23.1 | 7.8 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 9.1 | 3.7 | -67 | -3.4 | -12.6 | 36.2 | 12.5 | 62.5 | -0.08 | 39.8 | 37.1 |
| Fatima Sani | - | 1 | 7.2 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | -3 | -1.5 | -21.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.08 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Aβmoree Ferrel | - | 16 | 9.7 | 5.3 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 4.0 | 3.0 | -40 | -2.2 | -27.0 | 43.8 | 39.5 | 53.8 | 1.95 | 56.3 | 55.5 |
| Amaya Washington | - | 19 | 16.1 | 4.7 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 5.1 | 1.7 | -85 | -4.0 | -20.7 | 32.0 | 28.3 | 76.9 | -2.33 | 43.3 | 40.7 |
| Leilani Abraham | - | 17 | 20.8 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 4.1 | 4.3 | -49 | -2.6 | -16.1 | 31.9 | 20.8 | 73.7 | 3.98 | 44.9 | 35.5 |
| Camryn Washington | - | 18 | 11.7 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 2.8 | 2.3 | -58 | -3.1 | -34.9 | 38.0 | 33.3 | 65.0 | -0.56 | 45.1 | 40.0 |
| Jada Sanders | - | 9 | 10.1 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 2.9 | 1.4 | -29 | -2.9 | -14.0 | 38.5 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 0.32 | 42.8 | 44.2 |
| Jayla Love | - | 17 | 7.5 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 2.1 | -56 | -2.9 | -53.3 | 45.7 | 0 | 31.6 | -1.2 | 43.8 | 45.7 |
| luvlee sadler | - | 16 | 8.3 | 1.6 | 2.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 6 | 0.5 | 6.1 | 22.6 | 0.0 | 64.7 | 2.1 | 32.5 | 22.6 |
| N'Dya Parks | - | 10 | 5.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 14 | 1.4 | 43.5 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 1.64 | 28.2 | 12.5 |
| Fatimah Sani | - | 4 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 12 | 3.0 | 134.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | 1.31 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Gabrielle White | - | 3 | 4.3 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.0 | -8 | -2.7 | -1371.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.46 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Cristina Oliva | - | 1 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG