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Alas. Anchorage

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Alas. Anchorage
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1066 (#110) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1043 (#207) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1004 (#354) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +16.1 (#38) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +6.0 (#267) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.885 (#193) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +21.4 More → 0.954 (#105) NetEff +21.4
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +25.9 More → 0.946 (#111) NetEff +25.9
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +11.4 More → 0.814 (#173) NetEff +11.4
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -38.7 More → 0.010 (#450) NetEff -38.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +24.6 More → 0.945 (#160) AdjNet +24.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +28.3 More → 0.966 (#133) AdjNet +28.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.8 | AdjD 56.4 More → 0.830 (#144) AdjO 73.8 | AdjD 56.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.5 | AdjD 67.4 More → 0.569 (#216) AdjO 70.5 | AdjD 67.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.665 (#219) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.649 (#231) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 104 | GP 24 More → 1081 (#162) RD 104 | GP 24

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 vs Northwest (WA) W 107 - 82
2025-11-08 vs Northwest (WA) W 100 - 57
2025-11-14 @ Hawaii Pacific W 72 - 49
2025-11-15 @ Chaminade W 88 - 59
2025-11-18 vs Hawaii Hilo W 59 - 43
2025-11-21 vs St. Thomas (MN) L 60 - 77
2025-11-22 vs Bowling Green L 63 - 67
2025-11-28 vs UC Merced W 93 - 80
2025-11-29 vs UC Merced W 100 - 58
2025-12-04 vs Tuskegee W 64 - 44
2025-12-04 @ Saint Martin's L 60 - 69
2025-12-06 @ Western Ore. L 69 - 77
2025-12-07 vs Miles W 77 - 55
2025-12-07 @ Oregon St. L 53 - 69
2025-12-18 vs Colo. Sch. of Mines W 76 - 55
2025-12-20 @ Ferris St. L 59 - 65
2026-01-01 vs Northwest Nazarene W 76 - 71
2026-01-03 vs Central Wash. L 65 - 77
2026-01-10 vs Alas. Fairbanks W 76 - 41
2026-01-15 @ Simon Fraser W 79 - 72
2026-01-17 @ Western Wash. L 65 - 81
2026-01-22 vs Seattle Pacific L 98 - 101
2026-01-24 vs Mont. St. Billings L 91 - 92
2026-01-29 @ Central Wash. W 60 - 50
2026-01-31 @ Northwest Nazarene L 64 - 80
2026-02-07 @ Alas. Fairbanks W 79 - 69

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Mahaila Harrison - 24 31.2 17.8 7.0 1.6 2.0 0.5 2.3 15.6 10.9 167 8.0 27.2 43.6 26.4 71.1 2.52 51.6 48.5
Kaila Walker - 2 27.4 16.0 1.5 2.5 2.5 0.0 1.5 8.0 13.0 -65 -3.0 -22.3 43.8 28.6 94.1 -0.66 68.1 50.0
Elaina Mack - 24 35.4 15.8 5.9 2.0 1.2 0.5 1.5 15.2 8.6 211 10.0 29.8 39.3 34.8 78.6 1.67 50.1 48.8
Taylor Searcey - 10 26.2 13.6 6.0 3.8 2.2 0.7 1.9 9.1 15.3 43 3.9 11.8 51.6 11.1 78.8 -0.92 59.7 52.2
Mylee Anderson - 23 31.1 11.2 3.3 4.1 1.3 0.3 3.2 11.6 5.5 121 6.0 22.7 36.7 20.2 63.8 1.56 43.2 39.9
Kimberly Carrada - 24 25.6 9.5 3.8 3.3 1.8 0.3 2.2 8.1 8.3 41 2.0 7.9 36.9 31.0 71.6 -3.93 50.8 46.2
Rakiyah Beal - 2 21.3 7.5 2.5 1.0 0.0 0.5 4.5 8.5 -1.5 - - - 35.3 0.0 75.0 - 40.0 35.3
Moses Davenport - 2 22.5 6.0 5.5 1.0 2.5 1.5 0.5 5.5 10.5 - - - 45.5 0 66.7 - 48.7 45.5
Aniya Palmer - 2 10.6 6.0 3.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 4.0 4.5 2.5 -20 -4.0 -39.3 66.7 0 0.0 -0.54 63.6 66.7
Zaria Glover - 2 18.9 6.0 3.0 1.0 1.5 0.0 0.5 4.5 6.5 - - - 44.4 33.3 50.0 - 51.5 50.0
Lillee Duffin - 22 29.8 5.9 10.6 1.9 1.0 0.1 1.3 5.1 13.0 103 5.4 20.5 43.4 14.3 58.3 4.02 48.5 45.1
Kamiyha Griffin - 2 13.8 5.5 3.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 5.0 -34 -2.0 -150.0 33.3 0 70.0 -1.55 52.9 33.3
Faith Mersburgh - 23 19.9 5.0 2.9 1.3 1.2 0.2 1.3 4.7 4.3 103 5.2 25.0 35.8 30.4 62.9 -1.48 45.8 42.2
Sumayah McIntosh - 2 19.6 5.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 0.5 1.0 5.5 3.5 - - - 27.3 33.3 75.0 - 39.2 31.8
Jaida Belton - 2 12.9 5.0 6.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 4.5 6.5 - - - 44.4 0 22.2 - 38.6 44.4
Kalyn Ervin - 2 7.6 5.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 0.0 1.5 2.5 3.0 - - - 80.0 100.0 50.0 - 85.0 90.0
Shelomi Sanders - 2 9.6 4.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 4.5 0.5 - - - 33.3 33.3 0 - 44.4 44.4
Alba Sanz - 21 10.1 2.8 2.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.5 2.6 3.2 45 2.5 21.3 37.0 20.7 52.2 -1.14 45.2 42.6
Jennifer Nash - 16 9.6 2.8 1.2 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.6 2.8 1.7 52 3.7 28.0 34.1 25.9 72.7 -0.46 46.1 42.0
Jaela Reid - 10 9.1 2.1 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.0 0.4 2.7 0.5 -4 -0.4 -3.9 25.9 14.3 41.7 -2.9 32.5 29.6
Vanessa Wimberly - 2 19.7 2.0 2.0 1.5 2.5 0.0 2.5 1.0 4.5 - - - 0.0 0 100.0 - 53.2 0.0
Tia Allen - 2 3.9 1.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.5 62 2.6 15.5 100.0 0 50.0 -0.05 79.8 100.0
Tre'Miyah Berry - 2 11.4 1.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Brooke Leo - 10 8.4 1.4 2.0 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 1.9 11 1.2 14.0 33.3 30.0 50.0 -1.9 44.1 43.3
Chrystianna Whitehead - 2 4.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG