Alas. Anchorage
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1041 (#155) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1026 (#246) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1004 (#354) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +12.4 (#98) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +6.0 (#267) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.885 (#193) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.954 (#105) | NetEff +21.4 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.946 (#111) | NetEff +25.9 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.814 (#173) | NetEff +11.4 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.010 (#450) | NetEff -38.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.945 (#160) | AdjNet +24.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.966 (#133) | AdjNet +28.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.830 (#144) | AdjO 73.8 | AdjD 56.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.569 (#216) | AdjO 70.5 | AdjD 67.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.665 (#220) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.648 (#231) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1060 (#183) | RD 105 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Northwest (WA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Northwest (WA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Hawaii Pacific | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Chaminade | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Hawaii Hilo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | St. Thomas (MN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Bowling Green | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-28 | vs | UC Merced | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | UC Merced | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Tuskegee | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Saint Martin's | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Western Ore. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-07 | vs | Miles | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-07 | @ | Oregon St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-18 | vs | Colo. Sch. of Mines | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Ferris St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-01 | vs | Northwest Nazarene | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Central Wash. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Alas. Fairbanks | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Simon Fraser | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Western Wash. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Seattle Pacific | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Mont. St. Billings | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Central Wash. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Northwest Nazarene | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Alas. Fairbanks | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mahaila Harrison | - | 21 | 30.1 | 18.4 | 7.1 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 15.5 | 11.8 | 167 | 8.0 | 27.2 | 45.1 | 27.5 | 72.0 | 1.88 | 53.3 | 50.2 |
| Elaina Mack | - | 21 | 35.0 | 16.2 | 5.8 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 15.3 | 9.0 | 211 | 10.0 | 29.8 | 40.1 | 35.3 | 78.6 | 4.28 | 50.8 | 49.4 |
| Taylor Searcey | - | 10 | 26.2 | 13.6 | 6.0 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 9.1 | 15.3 | 43 | 3.9 | 11.8 | 51.6 | 11.1 | 78.8 | 0.2 | 59.7 | 52.2 |
| Mylee Anderson | - | 20 | 30.2 | 11.1 | 3.5 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 3.1 | 11.5 | 5.8 | 121 | 6.0 | 22.7 | 37.8 | 20.8 | 56.4 | 0.26 | 43.5 | 41.3 |
| Kimberly Carrada | - | 21 | 25.4 | 10.0 | 3.7 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 8.4 | 8.4 | 41 | 2.0 | 7.9 | 37.9 | 30.8 | 72.9 | -2.61 | 51.5 | 46.9 |
| Lillee Duffin | - | 19 | 28.3 | 5.3 | 10.4 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 4.6 | 12.8 | 103 | 5.4 | 20.5 | 44.3 | 11.1 | 61.8 | -0.95 | 49.0 | 45.5 |
| Faith Mersburgh | - | 20 | 20.6 | 5.2 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 5.0 | 4.6 | 103 | 5.2 | 25.0 | 35.4 | 32.5 | 64.7 | 2.68 | 46.1 | 41.9 |
| Jennifer Nash | - | 14 | 10.7 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 52 | 3.7 | 28.0 | 34.9 | 25.9 | 72.7 | -0.25 | 47.0 | 43.0 |
| Alba Sanz | - | 18 | 11.3 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 2.9 | 3.6 | 45 | 2.5 | 21.3 | 35.8 | 17.9 | 52.2 | 0.15 | 43.6 | 40.6 |
| Jaela Reid | - | 10 | 9.1 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.7 | 0.5 | -4 | -0.4 | -3.9 | 25.9 | 14.3 | 41.7 | -2.18 | 32.5 | 29.6 |
| Brooke Leo | - | 8 | 10.0 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 11 | 1.2 | 14.0 | 33.3 | 30.0 | 50.0 | -2.44 | 44.1 | 43.3 |
| Tia Allen | - | 2 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 62 | 2.6 | 15.5 | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 2.01 | 79.8 | 100.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG