Central Wash.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1265 (#23) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1322 (#10) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1182 (#25) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +22.2 (#35) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +15.5 (#147) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.832 (#220) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.966 (#98) | NetEff +26.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.927 (#179) | AdjNet +22.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.933 (#184) | AdjNet +22.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.785 (#183) | AdjO 73.8 | AdjD 59.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.782 (#37) | AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 54.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.878 (#45) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.868 (#45) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1301 (#15) | RD 109 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Cal St. East Bay | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Cal Poly Humboldt | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Vanguard | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Westmont | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-28 | vs | San Fran. St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Mary | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Northwest Nazarene | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Cal Poly Pomona | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-15 | @ | Cal State LA | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Cal St. San Marcos | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Walla Walla | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-01 | @ | Alas. Fairbanks | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Alas. Anchorage | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Western Wash. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Seattle Pacific | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Mont. St. Billings | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Saint Martin's | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Western Ore. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Alas. Anchorage | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Alas. Fairbanks | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Western Wash. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Simon Fraser | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asher Cai | - | 22 | 34.5 | 23.3 | 6.0 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 3.3 | 16.4 | 15.6 | 262 | 11.9 | 40.5 | 45.6 | 36.8 | 89.2 | 1.48 | 60.3 | 52.9 |
| Capri Sims | - | 22 | 30.0 | 13.9 | 8.4 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 10.6 | 13.9 | 211 | 9.2 | 43.3 | 58.8 | 9.1 | 54.7 | 2.79 | 59.5 | 59.2 |
| Fiona Snashall | - | 22 | 29.1 | 10.8 | 9.4 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 8.4 | 15.0 | 223 | 8.9 | 47.7 | 50.5 | 41.7 | 50.0 | 4.32 | 59.8 | 60.1 |
| Annalee Coronado | - | 12 | 21.3 | 8.2 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 5.9 | 5.1 | 86 | 7.2 | 32.5 | 50.7 | 30.0 | 76.9 | 0.62 | 59.4 | 54.9 |
| Sierra Eddie | - | 21 | 21.8 | 5.0 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 4.6 | 3.2 | 243 | 11.0 | 67.6 | 35.1 | 34.5 | 85.7 | 3.97 | 52.0 | 50.5 |
| Kayla Thornton | - | 22 | 25.9 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 5.5 | 3.7 | 165 | 7.2 | 29.8 | 40.0 | 9.1 | 58.3 | 0.64 | 42.3 | 41.2 |
| Emily Shaw | - | 22 | 10.9 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 119 | 5.4 | 136.8 | 40.4 | 34.0 | 75.0 | 0.55 | 56.2 | 54.4 |
| Rylee Leishman | - | 22 | 18.3 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3.3 | 51 | 2.2 | 16.2 | 39.4 | 43.3 | 78.6 | -2.66 | 63.8 | 59.1 |
| Aliyah Finch | - | 21 | 6.7 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 20 | 1.0 | 14.2 | 51.5 | 0.0 | 60.0 | -1.93 | 53.5 | 51.5 |
| Lylah Spring | - | 11 | 6.0 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 34 | 3.1 | 28.1 | 40.9 | 16.7 | 33.3 | 0.81 | 42.6 | 43.2 |
| Nicole Wertenberger | - | 18 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 22 | 1.2 | 31.9 | 41.7 | 46.7 | 75.0 | -1.01 | 58.2 | 56.2 |
| Jordy DeMott | - | 17 | 8.4 | 1.1 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 3.1 | 52 | 2.9 | 54.6 | 31.8 | 25.0 | 50.0 | -0.4 | 37.9 | 36.4 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG