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Purdue

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Purdue Boilermakers
Program History
Coach: Katie Gearlds

2026 Team Stats (30 games)

69.4
PPG
72.2
Opp
-2.8
Margin
43.0%
FG%
33.2%
3P%
74.0%
FT%
34.4
RPG
15.2
APG
15.6
TO
70.9
Est. poss./game
72.7
Adj PPG
62.5
Adj Opp PPG
#72
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1135 (#101) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1088 (#124) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +65 elo More → 949 (#242) HCA +65 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +11.8 (#66) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More → +8.6 (#82) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.388 (#212) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -3.9 More → 0.388 (#212) NetEff -3.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +17.4 More → 0.882 (#69) AdjNet +17.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +17.9 More → 0.890 (#67) AdjNet +17.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 62.5 More → 0.717 (#72) AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 62.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.1 | AdjD 67.1 More → 0.501 (#165) AdjO 67.1 | AdjD 67.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.695 (#97) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.655 (#104) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 156 | GP 30 More → 1056 (#138) RD 156 | GP 30

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights W 67 - 48
2025-11-06 vs Eastern Illinois Panthers W 82 - 67
2025-11-12 @ Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons L 67 - 68
2025-11-18 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 35 - 76
2025-11-23 vs Miami (OH) RedHawks W 79 - 68
2025-11-26 vs Howard Bison W 92 - 62
2025-11-30 @ Central Michigan Chippewas L 55 - 57
2025-12-03 vs Evansville Purple Aces W 91 - 49
2025-12-07 @ Michigan Wolverines L 56 - 104
2025-12-11 vs Lipscomb Bisons W 88 - 45
2025-12-14 vs Dayton Flyers W 80 - 43
2025-12-21 vs Jackson State Lady Tigers W 93 - 62
2025-12-28 vs Illinois Fighting Illini L 73 - 83
2025-12-31 vs Ohio State Buckeyes L 56 - 83
2026-01-04 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers L 62 - 78
2026-01-08 @ Wisconsin Badgers W 75 - 67
2026-01-11 vs Washington Huskies W 78 - 72
2026-01-18 @ USC Trojans L 57 - 83
2026-01-21 @ UCLA Bruins L 48 - 96
2026-01-25 vs Indiana Hoosiers W 80 - 69
2026-01-29 vs Michigan State Spartans L 65 - 86
2026-02-01 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers L 55 - 88
2026-02-04 vs Penn State Lady Lions L 82 - 85
2026-02-08 @ Indiana Hoosiers L 59 - 74
2026-02-14 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 72 - 57
2026-02-19 vs Iowa Hawkeyes L 74 - 83
2026-02-22 @ Maryland Terrapins L 66 - 99
2026-02-25 vs Oregon Ducks L 65 - 71
2026-03-01 @ Northwestern Wildcats W 67 - 62
2026-03-04 @ Oregon Ducks L 64 - 82

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tara Daye Tara Daye G 30 28.6 12.4 6.5 2.4 1.2 0.3 2.4 9.7 10.8 -37 25 -1.5 -2.2 47.2 34.1 75.9 1.91 55.0 49.8
Kiki Smith Kiki Smith G 30 26.4 10.7 2.3 2.2 1.2 0.2 1.7 9.4 5.5 -45 25 -1.8 -2.8 39.9 34.0 83.1 0.46 52.4 48.6
Madison Layden-Zay Madison Layden-Zay G 25 34.7 10.2 3.7 3.3 1.7 0.5 2.2 9.2 8.1 -34 20 -1.7 -2.0 36.2 35.2 85.0 -1.12 51.9 48.5
Nya Smith Nya Smith G 30 23.9 8.0 3.3 2.1 0.9 0.2 1.7 8.2 4.7 -81 25 -3.2 -5.6 35.1 27.3 85.7 0.77 45.7 41.8
Lana McCarthy Lana McCarthy F 27 17.2 7.8 4.7 1.0 0.7 0.6 2.4 5.9 6.5 15 24 0.6 1.5 57.5 0.0 60.5 2.77 58.7 57.5
Hila Karsh Hila Karsh G 30 25.9 6.9 1.9 2.4 0.7 0.1 1.6 7.4 3.0 -3 25 -0.1 -0.2 35.7 30.3 93.8 2.93 45.2 43.2
Kendall Puryear Kendall Puryear F 30 16.0 6.6 3.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 1.3 5.0 4.7 -43 25 -1.7 -4.4 54.0 0 58.1 -1.6 55.8 54.0
Taylor Feldman Taylor Feldman G 7 16.7 6.3 2.4 2.0 0.3 0.3 1.4 5.9 4.0 24 6 4.0 10.0 34.1 42.1 80.0 1.07 48.5 43.9
Avery Gordon Avery Gordon F 27 8.7 4.7 2.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 3.6 3.7 -23 22 -1.0 -5.7 53.1 0 59.5 -3.01 55.1 53.1
McKenna Layden McKenna Layden G 28 17.4 2.7 2.1 1.2 0.5 0.1 1.2 1.9 3.5 -5 24 -0.2 -0.5 45.3 44.0 71.4 4.5 66.9 66.0
Saige Stahl Saige Stahl F 24 10.3 1.2 2.9 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.6 1.0 3.4 -32 20 -1.6 -6.6 41.7 0.0 81.8 -1.72 50.3 41.7
Carley Barrett Carley Barrett G 5 1.4 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.6 -1 4 -0.2 -7.0 66.7 50.0 0 -1.81 83.3 83.3
Taylor Henderson Taylor Henderson G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2025-2026 Shot Zones

1794 located field-goal attempts in 30 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Daye26% Puryear21% Daye40% Puryear22% Smith22% Smith30% Layden25% Smith33% Layden-Zay36% Karsh23%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Daye25% Daye21% Layden-Zay24% Karsh20% Layden-Zay19% Smith37% Layden-Zay26% Layden-Zay28% Karsh24% Smith23%
Misses: who misses most here

Tara DayeKiki SmithMadison Layden-ZayNya SmithHila KarshKendall PuryearMcKenna Layden

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 241-365 66.0 482 Tara Daye 26% (124 pts) Lana McCarthy 24% (118 pts) Tara Daye 25% (31 misses) Lana McCarthy 19% (23 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 217-530 40.9 434 Kendall Puryear 21% (90 pts) Tara Daye 19% (82 pts) Tara Daye 21% (67 misses) Kendall Puryear 15% (47 misses)
Mid-range left 30-80 37.5 60 Tara Daye 40% (24 pts) Madison Layden-Zay 20% (12 pts) Madison Layden-Zay 24% (12 misses) Tara Daye 18% (9 misses)
Mid-range center 27-62 43.5 54 Kendall Puryear 22% (12 pts) Nya Smith 22% (12 pts) Hila Karsh 20% (7 misses) Nya Smith 20% (7 misses)
Mid-range right 40-104 38.5 80 Nya Smith 22% (18 pts) Kendall Puryear 18% (14 pts) Madison Layden-Zay 19% (12 misses) Tara Daye 17% (11 misses)
Left corner 3 20-47 42.6 60 Kiki Smith 30% (18 pts) Nya Smith 20% (12 pts) Kiki Smith 37% (10 misses) Nya Smith 26% (7 misses)
Right corner 3 20-43 46.5 60 McKenna Layden 25% (15 pts) Madison Layden-Zay 20% (12 pts) Madison Layden-Zay 26% (6 misses) Hila Karsh 22% (5 misses)
Above-break 3 left 72-242 29.8 216 Kiki Smith 33% (72 pts) Madison Layden-Zay 29% (63 pts) Madison Layden-Zay 28% (48 misses) Kiki Smith 24% (40 misses)
Above-break 3 center 28-98 28.6 84 Madison Layden-Zay 36% (30 pts) Kiki Smith 21% (18 pts) Hila Karsh 24% (17 misses) Nya Smith 24% (17 misses)
Above-break 3 right 77-223 34.5 231 Hila Karsh 23% (54 pts) Madison Layden-Zay 23% (54 pts) Kiki Smith 23% (33 misses) Nya Smith 22% (32 misses)