Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.4% | 93.6% | +14.8 | ✓ (22.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.3% | 96.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +37 (80-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Stephens | 36 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 1 | -23.3 |
| S. Dawkins | 33 | 1-9 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | -21.1 |
| J. Johnson | 26 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | -14.9 |
| M. O'Riordan | 20 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | -28.2 |
| F. Ibrahim | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -5.2 |
| M. Johnson | 17 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | -21.3 |
| K. Grant | 14 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | -7.2 |
| A. Madol | 14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -16.2 |
| M.G. Talle | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -14.4 |
| O. Leung | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -3 | -19.3 |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Layden-Zay | 34 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | +42.0 |
| H. Karsh | 28 | 7-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | +37.1 |
| T. Daye | 27 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 18 | +21.2 |
| K. Smith | 25 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | +26.2 |
| L. McCarthy | 16 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 3 | +5.9 |
| K. Puryear | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +25.7 |
| N. Smith | 16 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +6.4 |
| M. Layden | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +12.2 |
| S. Stahl | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.8 |
| A. Gordon | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3.8 |
| C. Barrett | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter