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Indiana Hoosiers 69
@
Purdue Boilermakers 80
2026-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Hoosiers Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 49.7% 50.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 56.9% 43.1% - ✗
Margin 55.1% 44.9% -1.1 ✗ (12.1 off)
Pythagorean 53.8% 46.2% - ✗
Efficiency 66.2% 33.8% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 63.3% 36.7% - ✗
Log Adjusted 64.4% 35.6% - ✗
Points Off/Def 50.7% 49.3% - ✗

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +11 (80-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Beaumont 40 5-15 0-5 3-4 6 2 2 0 2 13 6 -
S. Ciezki 38 11-18 5-7 10-11 3 0 2 0 9 37 15 +2.2
N. Caffey 34 0-2 0-0 7-8 2 4 2 0 3 7 10 +2.5
M. Makalusky 29 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 4 +2.3
J. Ondineme 21 0-2 0-0 3-4 5 0 0 0 3 3 3 +2.6
J. Kiaku 17 2-4 1-1 1-2 3 1 1 0 1 6 6 -
E. Noyan 16 0-2 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 1 2 0 2 +2.5
P. Stotijn 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Layden-Zay 37 4-13 1-6 3-4 4 6 4 2 0 12 15 -2.2
K. Smith 31 3-5 1-3 2-3 3 5 0 0 3 9 9 -
T. Daye 30 3-12 0-1 2-2 3 5 3 0 3 8 4 -2.2
N. Smith 25 4-7 3-5 2-2 2 0 1 0 2 13 7 -2.8
H. Karsh 20 4-6 4-5 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 12 6 -
M. Layden 19 2-2 2-2 2-2 1 2 0 0 0 8 9 -2.2
K. Puryear 18 1-3 0-0 2-2 4 1 1 0 2 4 5 -2.4
L. McCarthy 11 2-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 3 5 1 -
A. Gordon 9 4-4 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 2 0 9 9 -

* = starter