Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.7% | 14.3% | -9.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 90.3% | 9.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.5% | 10.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.2% | 9.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers -10 (73-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Wallace | 36 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 14 | -5.2 |
| G. Dolan | 33 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | +0.7 |
| D. Jackson | 33 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | -8.9 |
| C. Parchment | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 20 | +0.3 |
| J. Brown-Hagger | 28 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3 | -7.1 |
| M. Webber | 22 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | +6.1 |
| L. Vasconcelos | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1.8 |
| A. Guyton | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +3.7 |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Layden-Zay | 40 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | +9.0 |
| H. Karsh | 37 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 2 | +10.2 |
| T. Daye | 26 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 14 | +7.0 |
| K. Smith | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -2.3 |
| K. Puryear | 20 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 11 | +8.5 |
| L. McCarthy | 19 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 5 | -1.4 |
| N. Smith | 18 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -8.8 |
| M. Layden | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +5.2 |
* = starter