🐻⬇️🏀

@
2025-11-18

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 7.9% 92.1% -
Bradley-Terry 15.7% 84.3% -
Margin 2.0% 98.0% +21.5 (19.5 off)
Pythagorean 27.7% 72.3% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 12.5% 87.5% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +41 (76-35). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Karsh 32 1-7 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 -1 -26.3
M. Layden-Zay 28 2-6 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 1 -11.3
T. Daye 25 3-11 0-1 4-4 10 0 0 0 0 10 9 -9.0
K. Puryear 20 2-10 0-0 0-1 2 0 1 0 2 4 -5 -18.0
K. Smith 19 1-8 0-3 0-0 4 2 0 1 0 2 1 -11.9
T. Feldman 18 2-10 1-5 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 7 -1 -26.6
L. McCarthy 17 0-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 0 -1 -9.0
S. Stahl 16 0-1 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 -15.5
N. Smith 13 0-5 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 0 -3 -31.9
A. Gordon 7 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 2 -14.6
M. Layden 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.3

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Boone 31 2-10 2-7 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 6 2 +38.8
A. Hassett 29 4-8 3-7 0-0 4 0 1 1 1 11 8 +16.9
T. Key 27 1-8 0-2 4-4 7 3 0 3 1 6 10 +25.5
J. Obi 26 6-10 2-4 3-4 8 0 1 1 0 17 17 +19.8
C. Strack 26 7-14 1-4 2-2 13 2 0 5 1 17 22 +24.7
T. Morgan 22 3-7 1-2 4-5 2 6 0 0 2 11 10 +20.8
L. Blue 17 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 2 +20.7
J. Gilvin 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 2 3 +12.1
K. Carroll 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 3 4 +11.7
G. Brooks 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.3

* = starter