Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.5% | 65.5% | +0.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.3% | 34.7% | -7.0 | ✗ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.5% | 17.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons +1 (68-67). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Layden-Zay * | 36 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Kiki Smith * | 34 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Hila Karsh * | 33 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Tara Daye * | 22 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Lana McCarthy * | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Kendall Puryear | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Taylor Feldman | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Saige Stahl | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Nya Smith | 7 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Avery Gordon | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| McKenna Layden | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Reid * | 39 | 8-16 | 2-4 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Alana Nelson * | 38 | 6-13 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Lauren Lee * | 37 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Lili Krasovec * | 35 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Nika Lokica * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Rylee Bess | 19 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Ella Riggs | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Destiny Macharia | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Bailee Duck | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter