Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Central Michigan Chippewas | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.7% | 55.3% | -3.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.9% | 38.1% | -5.3 | ✗ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Central Michigan Chippewas +2 (57-55). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Layden-Zay * | 35 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | +2.8 |
| Kiki Smith * | 32 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -3 | -3.6 |
| Tara Daye * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11 | +5.3 |
| Hila Karsh * | 25 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | +1.5 |
| Kendall Puryear * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +6.4 |
| Nya Smith | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +3.1 |
| Taylor Feldman | 14 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | -5.1 |
| Lana McCarthy | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -7.6 |
| Avery Gordon | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +0.9 |
| Saige Stahl | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.8 |
Central Michigan Chippewas
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayanna-Sarai Darrington * | 34 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 14 | +1.5 |
| Madison Morson * | 34 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | -6 | -0.4 |
| Nekhu Mitchell * | 31 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | +5.6 |
| Demetria Prewitt * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2.2 |
| Zareia Chevre * | 23 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -10.7 |
| Taylor Anderson | 27 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 23 | +12.7 |
| Rylan Buschell | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -5 | +2.4 |
| Jayda Mosley | 8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Taylor Johnson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.2 |
| Riley Smith | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2.1 |
* = starter