๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

Purdue Boilermakers

Also known as: Purdue Boilermakers
Program History

2012 Team Stats (10 games)

67.3
PPG
73.4
Opp
-6.1
Margin
40.3%
FG%
34.2%
3P%
72.0%
FT%
30.6
RPG
10.2
APG
8.1
TO
-
Est. poss./game
73.4
Adj PPG
61.2
Adj Opp PPG
#25
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1349 (#20) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1237 (#35) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 1090 (#61) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +13.1 (#24) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +12.9 (#23) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.736 (#60) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +20.7 More โ†’ 0.916 (#26) AdjNet +20.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +21.1 More โ†’ 0.921 (#25) AdjNet +21.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 61.2 More โ†’ 0.752 (#25) AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 61.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 64.3 More โ†’ 0.678 (#33) AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 64.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.815 (#25) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.804 (#25) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 104 | GP 34 More โ†’ 1256 (#29) RD 104 | GP 34

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 vs Northern Illinois Huskies W 96 - 34
2011-11-14 vs High Point Panthers W 67 - 65
2011-11-17 @ Iona Gaels W 91 - 90
2011-11-18 vs Temple Owls W 85 - 77
2011-11-20 @ Alabama Crimson Tide L 56 - 65
2011-11-23 vs Western Michigan Broncos W 80 - 37
2011-11-26 vs Coppin State Eagles W 78 - 57
2011-11-29 vs Miami Hurricanes W 76 - 65
2011-12-03 @ Xavier Musketeers L 63 - 66
2011-12-07 vs Western Carolina Catamounts W 65 - 60
2011-12-10 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 61 - 36
2011-12-17 vs Butler Bulldogs L 65 - 67
2011-12-20 vs Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons W 81 - 56
2011-12-28 @ Iowa Hawkeyes W 79 - 76
2011-12-31 vs Illinois Fighting Illini W 75 - 60
2012-01-05 @ Penn State Nittany Lions L 45 - 65
2012-01-08 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers W 79 - 66
2012-01-17 vs Iowa Hawkeyes W 75 - 68
2012-01-21 @ Michigan State Spartans L 58 - 83
2012-01-24 vs Michigan Wolverines L 64 - 66
2012-01-28 @ Northwestern Wildcats W 58 - 56
2012-02-04 vs Indiana Hoosiers L 61 - 78
2012-02-07 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 84 - 87
2012-02-12 vs Northwestern Wildcats W 87 - 77
2012-02-15 @ Illinois Fighting Illini W 67 - 62
2012-02-19 vs Michigan State Spartans L 62 - 76
2012-02-22 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers W 83 - 65
2012-02-25 @ Michigan Wolverines W 75 - 61
2012-02-29 vs Penn State Nittany Lions W 80 - 56
2012-03-04 @ Indiana Hoosiers L 74 - 85
2012-03-08 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers W 79 - 61
2012-03-09 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 71 - 88
2012-03-16 @ Saint Mary's Gaels W 72 - 69
2012-03-18 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 60 - 63

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Robbie Hummel Robbie Hummel F 34 32.2 16.5 7.3 1.9 0.6 1.2 0.9 5.2 21.4 146 30 4.9 6.6 38.6 32.9 84.0 5.1 141.4 45.2
Lewis Jackson Lewis Jackson G 34 27.1 10.6 3.2 4.3 1.3 0.0 1.8 3.4 14.2 67 30 2.2 3.6 43.6 14.3 75.8 -1.59 123.6 44.0
Ryne Smith Ryne Smith G 34 28.9 9.1 2.6 1.1 0.8 0.1 0.6 2.4 10.7 141 30 4.7 7.2 38.8 37.3 69.2 2.73 180.8 54.4
D.J. Byrd D.J. Byrd G-F 32 19.4 9.0 2.3 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.6 2.9 9.4 62 29 2.1 4.8 42.4 47.5 73.7 2.11 143.5 57.6
Terone Johnson Terone Johnson G 34 23.6 9.0 3.3 1.9 1.0 0.2 1.5 3.1 10.8 118 30 3.9 7.2 43.9 25.0 53.8 2.81 123.6 45.8
Kelsey Barlow Kelsey Barlow G 25 24.2 8.3 3.7 1.7 1.3 0.2 1.0 2.3 11.8 51 23 2.2 4.0 41.4 16.7 63.0 -0.76 148.1 42.2
Anthony Johnson Anthony Johnson G 33 15.7 5.5 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.8 1.7 6.5 42 29 1.4 4.0 31.6 21.4 57.1 -0.93 143.3 34.2
Travis Carroll Travis Carroll F 34 16.8 2.5 2.7 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.7 5.4 17 30 0.6 1.4 45.8 0 77.8 -1.5 153.8 45.8
Jack Lawson Jack Lawson F 29 11.2 2.4 1.9 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.3 4.9 33 27 1.2 4.7 75.0 0 50.0 -1.3 363.7 75.0
John Hart John Hart G 18 5.4 1.7 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.2 -28 17 -1.6 -11.9 28.6 20.0 75.0 -4.29 95.2 35.7
Sandi Marcius Sandi Marcius F 24 8.5 1.6 2.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.3 3.2 64 20 3.2 14.7 37.5 0 57.1 1.85 176.0 37.5
Neal Beshears Neal Beshears F 10 2.2 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.6 21 10 2.1 41.0 100.0 0 0 2.2 150.0 100.0
Dru Anthrop Dru Anthrop G 12 3.0 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.2 26 11 2.4 30.9 0 0 0 2.16 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG