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2012-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 18.6% 81.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 24.3% 75.7% - โœ“
Margin 8.9% 91.1% +12.8 โœ“ (9.8 off)
Pythagorean 41.2% 58.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 6.4% 93.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 6.3% 93.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 24.5% 75.5% - โœ“

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +3 (87-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Robbie Hummel * 36 4-13 2-6 3-3 8 2 1 0 0 13 11 -
D.J. Byrd * 29 8-12 7-9 1-2 6 0 0 0 0 24 18 -
Kelsey Barlow * 27 5-10 0-0 4-5 0 3 2 0 2 14 7 -
Travis Carroll * 17 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 3 -
Anthony Johnson * 13 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 -1 -
Ryne Smith 28 3-5 2-3 1-3 3 0 0 0 0 9 7 -
Lewis Jackson 22 4-6 0-0 6-6 1 4 1 0 0 14 14 -
Terone Johnson 15 2-4 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
Jacob Lawson 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
Sandi Marcius 4 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
William Buford * 40 10-17 3-6 6-6 7 2 0 0 0 29 21 -
Jared Sullinger * 32 4-9 1-1 9-12 6 1 0 1 1 18 16 -
Aaron Craft * 30 3-3 1-1 6-7 3 2 0 0 2 13 13 -
Deshaun Thomas * 29 4-8 2-4 3-3 5 0 0 0 1 13 9 -
L. Smith Jr. * 26 2-6 2-4 1-2 5 2 0 0 1 7 7 -
Sam Thompson 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 2 3 -
Evan Ravenel 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Shannon Scott 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 0 0 -
J.D. Weatherspoon 5 1-1 0-0 1-4 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Amir Williams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter