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2012-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 76.1% 23.9% -
Bradley-Terry 41.7% 58.3% -
Margin 42.4% 57.6% +1.7 (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 33.1% 66.9% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 6.9% 93.1% -
Log Adjusted 6.8% 93.2% -

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +3 (87-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Hummel * 36 4-13 2-6 3-3 8 2 1 0 0 13 11 -
D.J. Byrd * 29 8-12 7-9 1-2 6 0 0 0 0 24 18 -
K. Barlow * 27 5-10 0-0 4-5 0 3 2 0 2 14 7 -
T. Carroll * 17 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 3 -
A. Johnson * 13 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 -1 -
R. Smith 28 3-5 2-3 1-3 3 0 0 0 0 9 7 -
L. Jackson 22 4-6 0-0 6-6 1 4 1 0 0 14 14 -
T. Johnson 15 2-4 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
J. Lawson 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
S. Marcius 4 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Buford * 40 10-17 3-6 6-6 7 2 0 0 0 29 21 -
J. Sullinger * 32 4-9 1-1 9-12 6 1 0 1 1 18 16 -
A. Craft * 30 3-3 1-1 6-7 3 2 0 0 2 13 13 -
D. Thomas * 29 4-8 2-4 3-3 5 0 0 0 1 13 9 -
L. Smith Jr. * 26 2-6 2-4 1-2 5 2 0 0 1 7 7 -
S. Thompson 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 2 3 -
E. Ravenel 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
S. Scott 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 0 0 -
J.D. Weatherspoon 5 1-1 0-0 1-4 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
A. Williams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter