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2012-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Hoosiers Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 10.7% 89.3% -
Bradley-Terry 36.7% 63.3% -
Margin 25.7% 74.3% +5.8 (22.8 off)
Pythagorean 55.6% 44.4% -
Efficiency 92.1% 7.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 77.2% 22.8% -
Log Adjusted 77.3% 22.7% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers -17 (61-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Hulls * 34 4-10 0-3 2-2 3 2 0 0 4 10 1 -
C. Zeller * 32 4-7 0-0 8-11 8 1 0 1 2 16 17 -
V. Oladipo * 30 6-14 1-1 10-12 8 4 0 2 2 23 21 -
C. Watford * 28 0-7 0-3 4-4 6 2 0 1 0 4 6 -
D. Elston * 18 1-6 0-1 3-4 6 0 0 0 1 5 4 -
W. Sheehey 22 3-4 1-1 0-0 7 1 1 3 0 7 15 -
R. Abell 19 5-6 1-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 13 10 -
T. Pritchard 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Roth 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
K. Barnett 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Moore 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Hummel * 35 4-14 0-2 8-9 10 2 2 5 1 16 20 -
T. Johnson * 30 2-12 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 4 -4 -
L. Jackson * 30 1-10 0-1 0-0 2 4 2 0 1 2 -1 -
R. Smith * 28 3-9 2-7 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 8 1 -
T. Carroll * 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 0 4 -
K. Barlow 26 4-10 0-2 4-7 2 0 1 0 0 12 5 -
D.J. Byrd 20 5-10 3-5 2-2 2 0 0 1 0 15 8 -
A. Johnson 9 0-2 0-1 0-2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Lawson 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
S. Marcius 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
J. Hart 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter