Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.3% | 48.7% | -0.3 | ✗ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers +3 (66-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robbie Hummel * | 35 | 7-21 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Lewis Jackson * | 35 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Ryne Smith * | 27 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Kelsey Barlow * | 18 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Sandi Marcius * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Terone Johnson | 30 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Travis Carroll | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Johnson | 10 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Jacob Lawson | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D.J. Byrd | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tu Holloway * | 37 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 8-9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Andre Walker * | 29 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Kenny Frease * | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Mark Lyons * | 25 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Dez Wells * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Travis Taylor | 24 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Brad Redford | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Justin Martin | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Dee Davis | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jeff Robinson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter