Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.0% | 8.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.1% | 37.9% | -2.7 | ✗ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers +3 (66-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Hummel * | 35 | 7-21 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 5 | - |
| L. Jackson * | 35 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 12 | - |
| R. Smith * | 27 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| K. Barlow * | 18 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| S. Marcius * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Johnson | 30 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| T. Carroll | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Johnson | 10 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| J. Lawson | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D.J. Byrd | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Holloway * | 37 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 8-9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 15 | - |
| A. Walker * | 29 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| K. Frease * | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| M. Lyons * | 25 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| D. Wells * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Taylor | 24 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| B. Redford | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Martin | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| D. Davis | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Robinson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter