Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.8% | 35.2% | -3.4 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers -14 (62-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Appling * | 35 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 32 | 7-15 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Austin Thornton * | 27 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 27 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Adreian Payne * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Derrick Nix | 25 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Brandon Wood | 22 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Brandan Kearney | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Alex Gauna | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Russell Byrd | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dan Chapman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Ianni | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Jackson * | 39 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Robbie Hummel * | 39 | 8-21 | 1-9 | 7-9 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 23 | - |
| Ryne Smith * | 31 | 3-11 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Travis Carroll * | 29 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Terone Johnson * | 23 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Anthony Johnson | 24 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Jacob Lawson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Sandi Marcius | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| John Hart | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dru Anthrop | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter