Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.5% | 60.5% | +2.3 | ✗ (16.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.7% | 5.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.2% | 13.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.6% | 13.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers -14 (62-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Appling * | 35 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| D. Green * | 32 | 7-15 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 22 | - |
| A. Thornton * | 27 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| B. Dawson * | 27 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| A. Payne * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Nix | 25 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| B. Wood | 22 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| B. Kearney | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Gauna | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Byrd | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Chapman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Ianni | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Jackson * | 39 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| R. Hummel * | 39 | 8-21 | 1-9 | 7-9 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 23 | - |
| R. Smith * | 31 | 3-11 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | - |
| T. Carroll * | 29 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Johnson * | 23 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| A. Johnson | 24 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| J. Lawson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Marcius | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Hart | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Anthrop | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter