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2012-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Indiana Hoosiers Spread Result
Elo 80.7% 19.3% -
Bradley-Terry 49.2% 50.8% -
Margin 48.4% 51.6% +0.3 (10.7 off)
Pythagorean 38.4% 61.6% -
Efficiency 1.9% 98.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.8% 83.2% -
Log Adjusted 16.7% 83.3% -

Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +11 (85-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Hummel * 35 7-12 2-2 0-0 8 1 1 0 1 16 13 -
L. Jackson * 34 6-12 0-0 5-6 5 3 2 0 2 17 13 -
R. Smith * 31 4-9 4-7 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 12 6 -
T. Johnson * 27 5-10 0-1 3-4 4 1 1 0 3 13 6 -
T. Carroll * 24 1-3 0-0 0-1 1 0 2 0 1 2 1 -
D.J. Byrd 30 4-14 2-10 2-2 5 3 1 0 1 12 6 -
A. Johnson 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
J. Hart 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 1 0 0 2 -

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Abell 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Moore 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Barnett 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Hulls * 33 3-7 2-4 2-2 2 5 2 0 1 10 11 -
C. Zeller * 30 4-6 0-0 5-8 7 1 1 2 2 13 16 -
W. Sheehey * 30 5-7 3-4 3-4 5 0 0 0 0 16 14 -
C. Watford * 29 6-9 1-2 6-6 6 2 0 0 3 19 15 -
V. Oladipo * 25 3-6 0-1 3-4 8 3 0 1 2 9 13 -
V. Jones III 21 3-5 1-1 0-0 2 2 2 2 1 7 9 -
M. Roth 15 3-3 3-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 9 6 -
T. Pritchard 9 1-4 0-1 0-1 0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -
D. Elston 8 0-6 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter