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Purdue Boilermakers 67
@
Illinois Fighting Illini 62
2012-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 65.6% 34.4% -5.3 ✓ (0.3 off)
Bradley-Terry 56.3% 43.7% - ✓
Margin 56.5% 43.5% -1.4 ✓ (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 53.8% 46.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 69.9% 30.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 70.2% 29.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 53.5% 46.5% - ✓

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -5 (62-67). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Robbie Hummel * 37 7-11 2-2 3-4 11 2 0 0 3 19 18 -
Lewis Jackson * 33 6-14 0-0 1-2 3 5 1 0 3 13 5 -
D.J. Byrd * 25 5-11 3-6 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 13 7 -
Kelsey Barlow * 24 1-6 0-1 1-2 2 0 1 0 2 3 -2 -
Travis Carroll * 21 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 4 6 -
Ryne Smith 34 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 3 0 -
Terone Johnson 23 5-10 1-3 1-2 2 6 0 0 0 12 10 -
Jacob Lawson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Paul * 38 6-11 2-5 5-7 4 0 2 0 4 19 10 -
D.J. Richardson * 38 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 2 0 2 0 0 -
Meyers Leonard * 37 4-7 0-1 1-1 12 2 0 2 2 9 16 -
Joseph Bertrand * 29 6-13 0-1 0-0 2 5 0 1 0 12 7 -
Tracy Abrams * 29 9-16 1-6 3-3 2 1 0 0 3 22 6 -
Sam Maniscalco 17 0-4 0-4 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 -
Tyler Griffey 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Nnanna Egwu 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Myke Henry 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter