Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.8% | 48.2% | -0.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -5 (62-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Hummel * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 29 | - |
| L. Jackson * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 19 | - |
| D.J. Byrd * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| K. Barlow * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| T. Carroll * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| R. Smith | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| T. Johnson | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 20 | - |
| J. Lawson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Paul * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 21 | - |
| D.J. Richardson * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Leonard * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 23 | - |
| J. Bertrand * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 20 | - |
| T. Abrams * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 22 | - |
| S. Maniscalco | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| T. Griffey | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Henry | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Egwu | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter