Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.9% | 57.1% | +1.6 | ✗ (15.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines -14 (61-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Jackson * | 35 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| R. Smith * | 35 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| R. Hummel * | 32 | 5-12 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| T. Johnson * | 27 | 9-12 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 15 | - |
| T. Carroll * | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| D.J. Byrd | 26 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| A. Johnson | 17 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Hart | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Anthrop | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Beshears | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Novak * | 37 | 4-11 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| T. Burke * | 37 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 1 | - |
| T. Hardaway Jr. * | 34 | 5-13 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | - |
| S. Douglass * | 34 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| J. Morgan * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| E. Smotrycz | 17 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| M. Vogrich | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| C. Christian | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. McLimans | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Brundidge | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Bartelstein | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Person | 1 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter