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2012-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 22.8% 77.2% -
Bradley-Terry 40.7% 59.3% -
Margin 30.3% 69.7% +4.6 (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 55.5% 44.5% -
Efficiency 85.7% 14.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.7% 44.3% -
Log Adjusted 55.5% 44.5% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers -2 (64-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Hardaway Jr. * 40 8-15 2-6 1-3 4 1 0 0 4 19 5 -
T. Burke * 38 3-10 0-2 0-0 3 6 0 1 3 6 3 -
Z. Novak * 36 2-4 1-1 0-0 8 3 0 0 0 5 12 -
S. Douglass * 34 5-8 2-3 0-0 5 3 2 0 1 12 13 -
J. Morgan * 29 5-7 0-0 2-2 7 2 0 0 3 12 11 -
E. Smotrycz 15 3-5 1-2 3-4 2 0 0 0 1 10 6 -
M. Vogrich 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
E. Akunne 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Brundidge 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Hummel * 36 6-14 2-6 2-2 5 6 1 1 0 16 15 -
R. Smith * 34 3-8 3-8 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 9 5 -
L. Jackson * 28 6-8 0-0 5-6 0 8 2 0 3 17 16 -
T. Johnson * 24 1-3 1-2 1-3 3 1 2 0 3 4 4 -
T. Carroll * 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 1 2 2 -
D.J. Byrd 20 2-4 2-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 6 3 -
A. Johnson 14 2-4 0-1 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
J. Lawson 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 1 2 5 -
J. Hart 9 1-5 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 -2 -
K. Barlow 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter