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2011-11-20

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 50.4% 49.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 48.2% 51.8% - โœ“
Margin 36.6% 63.4% +3.0 โœ“ (6.0 off)
Pythagorean 45.2% 54.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 42.9% 57.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 43.7% 56.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 43.6% 56.4% - โœ“

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +9 (65-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kelsey Barlow * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 3 0 1 11 21 -
Lewis Jackson * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 3 0 0 3 8 17 -
Robbie Hummel * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 2 0 17 24 -
Ryne Smith * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 3 5 -
Travis Carroll * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 6 -
Anthony Johnson 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 8 10 -
Jacob Lawson 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 0 2 8 -
D.J. Byrd 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 4 -
Terone Johnson 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 3 5 -
Sandi Marcius 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tony Mitchell * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 2 1 0 2 14 25 -
Levi Randolph * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 1 12 20 -
Trevor Releford * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 1 0 2 20 27 -
JaMychal Green * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 2 1 0 1 14 24 -
Rodney Cooper * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 3 3 6 -
Trevor Lacey 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 2 6 -
Nick Jacobs 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 0 5 -
Ben Eblen 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Carl Engstrom 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Hankerson Jr. 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter