Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.9% | 33.1% | -5.7 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.1% | 39.9% | -2.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -2 (56-58). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Byrd * | 35 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Robbie Hummel * | 35 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Ryne Smith * | 33 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Lewis Jackson * | 28 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 11 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Terone Johnson | 32 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Kelsey Barlow | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Travis Carroll | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| John Hart | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Shurna * | 40 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Drew Crawford * | 39 | 9-16 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Dave Sobolewski * | 39 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Reggie Hearn * | 29 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Davide Curletti * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Alex Marcotullio | 27 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Nick Fruendt | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter