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2012-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Northwestern Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 92.5% 7.5% -
Bradley-Terry 60.4% 39.6% -
Margin 74.0% 26.0% -5.8 (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 61.4% 38.6% -
Efficiency 70.1% 29.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 75.9% 24.1% -
Log Adjusted 76.2% 23.8% -

Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -2 (56-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Byrd * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 12 16 -
R. Hummel * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 0 11 17 -
R. Smith * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
L. Jackson * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 2 0 2 8 14 -
A. Johnson * 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 6 7 -
T. Johnson 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 2 2 1 14 22 -
K. Barlow 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 4 6 -
T. Carroll 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 3 6 -
J. Hart 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Shurna * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 4 0 3 1 15 28 -
D. Sobolewski * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 1 0 8 15 -
D. Crawford * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 3 0 0 4 23 30 -
R. Hearn * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 1 5 5 10 -
D. Curletti * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 4 2 5 -
A. Marcotullio 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 1 2 3 8 -

* = starter