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2011-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 84.3% 15.7% -
Bradley-Terry 46.4% 53.6% -
Margin 49.7% 50.3% +0.1 (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 47.6% 52.4% -
Efficiency 43.4% 56.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 62.0% 38.0% -
Log Adjusted 62.2% 37.8% -

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes -3 (76-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Jackson * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 0 3 6 10 -
R. Hummel * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 1 1 1 1 16 29 -
K. Barlow * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 12 15 -
R. Smith * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 5 10 -
J. Lawson * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 4 9 -
D.J. Byrd 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 14 18 -
T. Carroll 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 4 5 -
T. Johnson 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 6 11 -
J. Hart 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 8 9 -
A. Johnson 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 4 6 -

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Gatens * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 5 0 0 0 11 22 -
D. Marble * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 6 1 1 0 17 26 -
M. Basabe * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 2 3 14 21 -
E. May * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 9 14 -
Z. McCabe * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 5 9 -
B. Cartwright 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 1 8 12 -
A. White 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 7 9 -
J. Oglesby 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 4 -
A. Brommer 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter