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Purdue Boilermakers

Also known as: Purdue Boilermakers
Program History

2011 Team Stats (34 games)

72.5
PPG
61.9
Opp
+10.7
Margin
44.7%
FG%
36.4%
3P%
71.5%
FT%
35.5
RPG
15.8
APG
10.4
TO
-
Est. poss./game
75.0
Adj PPG
57.8
Adj Opp PPG
#7
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2010-2011
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1387 (#16) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1303 (#15) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +91 elo More โ†’ 1091 (#45) HCA +91 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +18.4 (#7) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +16.3 (#15) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.862 (#11) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +28.3 More โ†’ 0.964 (#7) AdjNet +28.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +28.6 More โ†’ 0.965 (#7) AdjNet +28.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 57.8 More โ†’ 0.827 (#7) AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 57.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 61.9 More โ†’ 0.714 (#22) AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 61.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.867 (#11) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.851 (#12) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 107 | GP 34 More โ†’ 1294 (#24) RD 107 | GP 34

2011 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2010-11-14 vs Howard Bison W 76 - 40
2010-11-17 vs Alcorn State Braves W 103 - 48
2010-11-21 vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies W 82 - 67
2010-11-23 vs Austin Peay Governors W 87 - 65
2010-11-26 vs Southern Illinois Salukis W 79 - 60
2010-11-27 @ Richmond Spiders L 54 - 65
2010-12-01 @ Virginia Tech Hokies W 58 - 55
2010-12-04 vs Alabama Crimson Tide W 66 - 47
2010-12-07 @ Valparaiso Beacons W 76 - 58
2010-12-11 vs North Florida Ospreys W 77 - 57
2010-12-18 vs Indiana State Sycamores W 65 - 52
2010-12-21 vs Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons W 77 - 52
2010-12-28 @ Michigan Wolverines W 80 - 57
2010-12-31 vs Northwestern Wildcats W 82 - 69
2011-01-05 @ Penn State Nittany Lions W 83 - 68
2011-01-09 vs Iowa Hawkeyes W 75 - 52
2011-01-13 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers L 67 - 70
2011-01-16 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 64 - 68
2011-01-19 vs Penn State Nittany Lions W 63 - 62
2011-01-22 vs Michigan State Spartans W 86 - 76
2011-01-25 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 64 - 87
2011-01-29 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers W 73 - 61
2011-02-01 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 59 - 66
2011-02-08 vs Indiana Hoosiers W 67 - 53
2011-02-13 @ Illinois Fighting Illini W 81 - 70
2011-02-16 vs Wisconsin Badgers W 70 - 62
2011-02-20 vs Ohio State Buckeyes W 76 - 63
2011-02-23 @ Indiana Hoosiers W 72 - 61
2011-02-27 @ Michigan State Spartans W 67 - 47
2011-03-01 vs Illinois Fighting Illini W 75 - 67
2011-03-05 @ Iowa Hawkeyes L 65 - 67
2011-03-11 vs Michigan State Spartans L 56 - 74
2011-03-18 vs Saint Peter's Peacocks W 65 - 43
2011-03-20 vs VCU Rams L 76 - 94

2011 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
JaJuan Johnson JaJuan Johnson F-C 34 35.4 20.5 8.6 1.0 0.9 2.3 1.6 15.3 16.3 235 28 8.4 10.7 49.4 29.4 80.9 5.84 57.0 50.9
E'Twaun Moore E'Twaun Moore G 34 33.9 18.0 5.1 3.2 1.2 0.5 1.8 14.5 11.7 226 28 8.1 10.9 44.7 40.0 70.9 4.71 55.0 51.8
Lewis Jackson Lewis Jackson G 34 26.2 8.0 3.2 4.0 0.8 0.1 1.9 5.6 8.6 146 28 5.2 8.9 50.3 30.0 71.6 -0.53 58.1 52.6
Ryne Smith Ryne Smith G 34 23.9 6.2 2.5 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.5 4.2 6.6 190 28 6.8 13.1 46.2 44.1 88.5 4.0 68.3 65.7
D.J. Byrd D.J. Byrd G-F 34 20.6 5.2 3.0 2.0 0.6 0.2 0.9 4.5 5.6 146 28 5.2 11.5 35.9 33.9 63.0 0.76 51.1 48.4
Kelsey Barlow Kelsey Barlow G 32 19.5 5.1 2.9 1.6 0.8 0.3 1.6 3.8 5.3 38 26 1.5 3.4 47.1 15.4 64.0 -2.29 53.2 47.9
Terone Johnson Terone Johnson G 34 19.3 4.9 2.5 1.7 0.5 0.2 1.0 5.0 3.8 75 28 2.7 6.2 34.9 29.3 55.6 -0.75 44.2 42.0
John Hart John Hart G 20 10.1 3.8 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.5 3.8 1.8 14 19 0.7 3.3 36.8 36.7 100.0 -1.52 49.4 48.7
Travis Carroll Travis Carroll F 31 9.2 1.3 1.9 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 1.2 2.3 18 24 0.8 3.3 52.6 0 0.0 -2.88 49.8 52.6
Sandi Marcius Sandi Marcius F 22 5.1 1.0 1.5 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.4 12 16 0.8 6.5 38.1 0 55.6 -1.93 42.1 38.1
Patrick Bade Patrick Bade F 23 6.8 0.8 1.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.3 23 18 1.3 7.5 25.0 0 54.5 -3.2 31.2 25.0
Bubba Day Bubba Day G 9 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.1 -7 6 -1.2 -28.3 28.6 50.0 0 -1.36 42.9 42.9
Dru Anthrop Dru Anthrop G 9 2.0 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.6 -11 6 -1.8 -40.1 50.0 50.0 50.0 -2.26 69.4 75.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG