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Purdue Boilermakers 83
@
Penn State Nittany Lions 68
2011-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Penn State Nittany Lions Spread Result
Elo 59.7% 40.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 60.5% 39.5% - ✓
Margin 69.3% 30.7% -4.5 ✓ (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 59.3% 40.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 80.3% 19.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 80.5% 19.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 59.9% 40.1% - ✓

Actual: Penn State Nittany Lions -15 (68-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
JaJuan Johnson 38 5-9 0-1 5-5 15 2 0 5 3 15 25 -
Ryne Smith 30 5-5 5-5 5-7 4 0 1 0 1 20 19 -
Lewis Jackson 30 5-6 0-0 7-13 3 1 2 0 3 17 14 -
E'Twaun Moore 27 2-10 0-2 0-0 4 5 1 1 0 4 5 -
Kelsey Barlow 26 3-7 0-0 4-6 6 1 0 0 3 10 7 -
Terone Johnson 25 3-12 0-4 3-8 6 4 0 0 2 9 5 -
Travis Carroll 12 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
D.J. Byrd 12 1-2 1-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 4 5 -

Penn State Nittany Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Battle 39 6-22 2-9 4-5 4 3 1 0 1 18 3 -
J. Brooks 39 7-9 0-0 1-2 10 2 2 3 3 15 20 -
D. Jackson 31 2-4 1-1 4-7 6 0 2 0 0 9 13 -
A. Jones 29 3-6 0-0 0-1 5 1 0 0 1 6 5 -
J. Marshall 28 6-10 2-4 4-5 2 1 2 0 1 18 12 -
T. Frazier 22 1-6 0-3 0-0 1 8 2 0 3 2 4 -
B. Oliver 10 0-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -5 -
C. Woodyard 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Bowman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter