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2011-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 22.0% 78.0% -
Bradley-Terry 30.2% 69.8% -
Margin 31.0% 69.0% +4.4 (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 43.0% 57.0% -
Efficiency 28.9% 71.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.5% 54.5% -
Log Adjusted 45.6% 54.4% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +8 (70-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Gasser * 34 1-7 0-2 1-1 8 1 1 0 1 3 5 -
J. Taylor * 34 6-9 0-1 3-4 5 5 0 0 2 15 14 -
K. Nankivil * 30 2-9 1-6 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 5 2 -
J. Leuer * 30 10-18 1-4 2-2 4 0 0 1 1 23 9 -
T. Jarmusz * 14 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
R. Evans 28 3-8 0-0 5-6 6 1 0 0 0 11 10 -
M. Bruesewitz 13 1-5 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
R. Wilson 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
W. Smith 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Berggren 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Johnson * 37 6-13 0-2 8-8 10 0 2 4 2 20 21 -
E. Moore * 34 8-19 3-7 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 19 1 -
L. Jackson * 31 6-9 1-1 5-6 4 5 0 0 0 18 18 -
R. Smith * 28 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 2 3 -
D.J. Byrd * 25 2-6 1-4 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 5 5 -
K. Barlow 22 1-2 0-0 4-5 2 1 0 0 0 6 7 -
T. Johnson 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 -
T. Carroll 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Bade 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter