Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.8% | 89.2% | +11.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +13 (82-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Thompson | 39 | 7-12 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 7 | - |
| J. Shurna | 34 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| D. Crawford | 32 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - |
| J. Cobb | 30 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| L. Mirkovic | 29 | 6-12 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | - |
| A. Marcotullio | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Capocci | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| D. Curletti | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Moore | 39 | 11-20 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 24 | - |
| J. Johnson | 37 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | - |
| R. Smith | 31 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 7-7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| L. Jackson | 31 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | - |
| T. Johnson | 23 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Barlow | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| D.J. Byrd | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Carroll | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter