Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.0% | 49.0% | -0.2 | ✓ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -11 (70-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Johnson * | 39 | 8-19 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 16 | - |
| L. Jackson * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| R. Smith * | 28 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| E. Moore * | 25 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 10-12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| D.J. Byrd * | 20 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| K. Barlow | 23 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| T. Johnson | 23 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| J. Hart | 8 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| P. Bade | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Marcius | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Davis * | 36 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| D. McCamey * | 34 | 1-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D.J. Richardson * | 32 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| B. Cole * | 23 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| M. Tisdale * | 18 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| B. Paul | 32 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 9-10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 15 | - |
| J. Richmond | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Leonard | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Head | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter