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2011-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Penn State Nittany Lions Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 25.2% 74.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 26.9% 73.1% - โœ“
Margin 12.8% 87.2% +10.6 โœ“ (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 34.7% 65.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 13.7% 86.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 13.5% 86.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 28.0% 72.0% - โœ“

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +1 (63-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Penn State Nittany Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Battle * 39 5-15 2-9 2-2 6 4 0 0 2 14 7 -
J. Brooks * 38 7-10 1-1 4-4 8 5 0 3 4 19 21 -
D. Jackson * 38 4-8 3-5 2-2 5 1 0 0 3 13 8 -
T. Frazier * 37 4-5 0-0 0-0 3 5 0 1 3 8 9 -
A. Jones * 37 4-7 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 8 5 -
B. Oliver 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Bowman 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Marshall 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
JaJuan Johnson * 38 9-18 0-1 7-8 3 1 0 0 0 25 11 -
E'Twaun Moore * 38 7-15 2-6 0-0 2 5 1 1 1 16 9 -
Lewis Jackson * 27 1-4 1-1 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 3 4 -
Ryne Smith * 24 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 5 0 0 1 5 6 -
Kelsey Barlow * 22 2-4 0-1 2-2 1 1 1 0 0 6 5 -
D.J. Byrd 19 2-4 1-1 0-0 3 2 1 1 0 5 8 -
John Hart 13 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 3 2 -
Travis Carroll 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Terone Johnson 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter