Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.6% | 65.4% | +3.5 | ✗ (23.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -20 (47-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Johnson * | 37 | 8-13 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 20 | 30 | - |
| E. Moore * | 35 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 5 | - |
| L. Jackson * | 34 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| R. Smith * | 22 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| D.J. Byrd * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| T. Carroll | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. Johnson | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| K. Barlow | 17 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| P. Bade | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Hart | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lucas * | 36 | 8-20 | 0-4 | 7-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 3 | - |
| D. Green * | 31 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| D. Summers * | 28 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Kebler * | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| K. Appling * | 20 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| D. Roe | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Payne | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| G. Sherman | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Thornton | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D. Nix | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter