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2011-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 34.6% 65.4% -
Bradley-Terry 44.3% 55.7% -
Margin 37.8% 62.2% +2.7 (20.7 off)
Pythagorean 39.0% 61.0% -
Efficiency 10.0% 90.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.6% 75.4% -
Log Adjusted 24.1% 75.9% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers -18 (56-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Lucas * 35 8-15 4-6 10-11 1 3 0 0 2 30 17 -
D. Green * 34 2-9 1-4 3-4 13 4 1 3 2 8 18 -
D. Summers * 29 2-4 0-1 2-2 8 0 0 0 2 6 8 -
M. Kebler * 25 3-5 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 1 0 8 7 -
A. Payne * 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Appling 26 3-4 2-2 2-2 5 2 0 0 1 10 12 -
D. Roe 24 2-8 0-0 3-4 8 2 0 4 0 7 13 -
D. Nix 7 0-0 0-0 3-6 0 1 0 0 1 3 3 -
A. Thornton 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
G. Sherman 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Ianni 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Moore * 38 5-11 1-2 6-9 3 4 1 0 1 17 13 -
J. Johnson * 38 9-19 0-3 3-4 9 0 1 1 0 21 13 -
R. Smith * 30 2-5 1-4 1-1 5 1 1 0 0 6 8 -
L. Jackson * 24 1-4 0-1 0-1 2 3 0 0 0 2 3 -
D.J. Byrd * 17 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 3 0 -
T. Johnson 23 1-6 0-2 3-4 4 1 0 0 0 5 4 -
K. Barlow 21 0-3 0-2 1-4 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 -
T. Carroll 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Marcius 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

* = starter