Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.8% | 62.2% | +2.7 | ✗ (20.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers -18 (56-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lucas * | 35 | 8-15 | 4-6 | 10-11 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 17 | - |
| D. Green * | 34 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 18 | - |
| D. Summers * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| M. Kebler * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| A. Payne * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Appling | 26 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| D. Roe | 24 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| D. Nix | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Thornton | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| G. Sherman | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Ianni | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Moore * | 38 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 6-9 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| J. Johnson * | 38 | 9-19 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 13 | - |
| R. Smith * | 30 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| L. Jackson * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D.J. Byrd * | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| T. Johnson | 23 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| K. Barlow | 21 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| T. Carroll | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Marcius | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter