Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.4% | 76.6% | +7.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.6% | 73.4% | +5.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +8 (75-67). Ratings: 2010-11 season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Davis * | 38 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Demetri McCamey * | 30 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Bill Cole * | 27 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Mike Tisdale * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| D.J. Richardson * | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Paul | 29 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Jereme Richmond | 25 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Meyers Leonard | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Crandall Head | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JaJuan Johnson * | 37 | 9-18 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Ryne Smith * | 30 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| D.J. Byrd * | 30 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 5-8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Lewis Jackson * | 26 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| E'Twaun Moore | 37 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Kelsey Barlow | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Terone Johnson | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Travis Carroll | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter