Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.6% | 76.4% | +6.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +8 (75-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Davis * | 38 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| D. McCamey * | 30 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| B. Cole * | 27 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Tisdale * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| D.J. Richardson * | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| B. Paul | 29 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 2 | - |
| J. Richmond | 25 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| M. Leonard | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Head | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Johnson * | 37 | 9-18 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 14 | - |
| R. Smith * | 30 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| D.J. Byrd * | 30 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 5-8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| L. Jackson * | 26 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| E. Moore | 37 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| K. Barlow | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| T. Johnson | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| T. Carroll | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter