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2011-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 13.8% 86.2% -
Bradley-Terry 45.0% 55.0% -
Margin 33.1% 66.9% +3.9 (9.1 off)
Pythagorean 52.4% 47.6% -
Efficiency 80.3% 19.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 71.1% 28.9% -
Log Adjusted 72.3% 27.7% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +13 (76-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Lighty * 40 2-9 1-4 5-10 6 4 2 0 3 10 10 -
J. Diebler * 38 3-6 2-4 3-3 4 2 2 0 3 11 10 -
J. Sullinger * 33 9-14 0-0 7-7 6 0 1 1 4 25 15 -
W. Buford * 28 1-5 1-2 4-4 5 1 1 1 0 7 10 -
D. Lauderdale * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
A. Craft 37 3-7 0-2 4-4 2 1 6 0 6 10 6 -
D. Thomas 12 0-6 0-3 0-1 4 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Moore * 38 13-18 7-10 5-7 4 5 2 0 3 38 28 -
J. Johnson * 37 4-10 0-1 5-7 6 1 1 2 2 13 11 -
L. Jackson * 28 4-10 0-3 1-1 2 2 1 0 4 9 0 -
R. Smith * 23 0-3 0-3 0-0 3 4 3 1 0 0 8 -
T. Carroll * 7 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
D.J. Byrd 25 0-2 0-2 2-3 5 4 1 1 0 2 11 -
K. Barlow 19 4-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 8 3 -
T. Johnson 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
P. Bade 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Hart 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Marcius 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter