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2011-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 9.7% 90.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 9.2% 90.8% - โœ“
Margin 7.1% 92.9% +14.1 โœ“ (8.9 off)
Pythagorean 33.0% 67.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 5.5% 94.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 5.5% 94.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 22.2% 77.8% - โœ“

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +23 (75-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Matt Gatens * 36 4-10 1-3 4-4 2 3 2 1 1 13 10 -
Bryce Cartwright * 29 2-10 0-0 0-1 2 3 1 0 4 4 -4 -
Melsahn Basabe * 19 1-5 0-0 6-6 3 0 0 0 4 8 2 -
Eric May * 17 1-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 3 -1 -
Jarryd Cole * 15 2-2 0-0 2-3 0 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
D. Marble 25 3-10 0-1 0-0 3 2 2 0 1 6 2 -
Zach McCabe 23 2-4 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 1 3 4 4 -
Devon Archie 20 1-2 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 3 0 2 12 -
Andrew Brommer 15 3-5 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 1 0 6 5 -
Jordan Stoermer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ryne Smith * 32 6-9 6-9 0-0 3 3 0 1 0 18 16 -
JaJuan Johnson * 30 7-17 0-0 2-3 5 1 3 4 1 16 11 -
E'Twaun Moore * 28 5-15 1-6 0-0 7 4 1 0 3 11 5 -
Lewis Jackson * 26 3-3 0-0 1-1 5 7 0 0 4 7 12 -
D.J. Byrd * 19 1-5 0-4 1-2 1 2 0 0 0 3 1 -
Terone Johnson 22 3-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 7 5 -
Travis Carroll 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 0 2 9 -
Kelsey Barlow 14 4-5 0-0 3-3 4 3 0 1 2 11 12 -
Sandi Marcius 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
Patrick Bade 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
Bubba Day 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Dru Anthrop 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter