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2011-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 84.6% 15.4% -
Bradley-Terry 48.3% 51.7% -
Margin 51.4% 48.6% -0.3 (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 53.5% 46.5% -
Efficiency 95.7% 4.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 76.9% 23.1% -
Log Adjusted 76.8% 23.2% -

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes +2 (67-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Johnson * 39 9-23 0-1 4-6 12 0 1 2 1 22 13 -
L. Jackson * 31 5-12 0-1 3-4 4 4 4 0 1 13 12 -
E. Moore * 29 5-11 1-5 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 11 3 -
D.J. Byrd * 23 1-6 1-6 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 3 0 -
R. Smith * 23 2-6 2-6 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 6 5 -
T. Johnson 25 2-6 1-4 1-2 6 4 0 0 1 6 9 -
K. Barlow 14 1-3 0-0 2-5 0 0 1 0 2 4 0 -
J. Hart 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -
T. Carroll 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
P. Bade 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Gatens * 34 4-9 1-2 4-4 5 0 0 0 1 13 8 -
J. Cole * 32 7-12 0-0 2-2 10 1 0 0 0 16 15 -
M. Basabe * 31 5-10 0-0 1-2 8 1 0 1 2 11 9 -
D. Marble * 29 1-9 0-2 2-3 7 3 0 0 3 4 2 -
B. Cartwright * 26 5-8 1-2 2-5 6 7 0 0 2 13 16 -
E. May 19 1-4 0-0 1-2 5 3 1 0 3 3 5 -
Z. McCabe 14 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -3 -
D. Archie 10 1-2 0-0 0-1 3 0 1 1 0 2 5 -
A. Brommer 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter