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Providence Friars

Also known as: Providence Friars
Program History

2026 Team Stats (31 games)

85.1
PPG
84.6
Opp
+0.5
Margin
47.4%
FG%
36.1%
3P%
75.5%
FT%
38.5
RPG
13.8
APG
12.2
TO
84.4
Pace
89.7
AdjO
79.6
AdjD
#67
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1081 (#117) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1037 (#142) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1002 (#187) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +10.1 (#66) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +23.4 (#65) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.544 (#148) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -0.6 More → 0.483 (#176) NetEff -0.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.1 More → 0.819 (#69) AdjNet +13.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +13.3 More → 0.823 (#69) AdjNet +13.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 89.7 | AdjD 79.6 More → 0.715 (#67) AdjO 89.7 | AdjD 79.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 81.6 | AdjD 77.7 More → 0.588 (#133) AdjO 81.6 | AdjD 77.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.851 (#83) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.808 (#86) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 132 | GP 31 More → 1091 (#143) RD 132 | GP 31

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Holy Cross Crusaders W 89 - 79
2025-11-08 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 101 - 107
2025-11-11 vs Pennsylvania Quakers W 106 - 81
2025-11-14 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 88 - 97
2025-11-18 vs New Hampshire Wildcats W 98 - 66
2025-11-22 @ Penn State Nittany Lions W 77 - 65
2025-11-27 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 83 - 104
2025-11-28 @ Florida Gators L 78 - 90
2025-12-02 vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights W 94 - 64
2025-12-13 @ Butler Bulldogs L 110 - 113
2025-12-19 vs Seton Hall Pirates L 67 - 72
2026-01-03 @ St. John's Red Storm W 77 - 71
2026-01-07 vs UConn Huskies L 98 - 103
2026-01-10 @ Xavier Musketeers L 84 - 97
2026-01-13 vs Villanova Wildcats L 82 - 88
2026-01-16 vs Creighton Bluejays W 93 - 88
2026-01-19 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 104 - 105
2026-01-24 vs Georgetown Hoyas L 78 - 81
2026-01-27 @ UConn Huskies L 81 - 87
2026-01-30 @ Villanova Wildcats L 73 - 87
2026-02-04 vs Butler Bulldogs W 97 - 87
2026-02-07 vs DePaul Blue Demons W 90 - 72
2026-02-11 @ Seton Hall Pirates L 80 - 87
2026-02-14 vs St. John's Red Storm L 69 - 79
2026-02-21 @ DePaul Blue Demons W 71 - 68
2026-02-24 vs Xavier Musketeers W 94 - 84
2026-02-28 @ Creighton Bluejays W 79 - 76
2026-03-04 vs Marquette Golden Eagles L 56 - 78
2026-03-07 @ Georgetown Hoyas L 79 - 80
2026-03-11 @ Butler Bulldogs W 91 - 81
2026-03-12 @ St. John's Red Storm L 72 - 85

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Sellers J. Sellers - 31 30.0 18.5 4.0 1.6 0.9 0.2 1.7 13.1 10.5 -10 -0.5 -1.1 46.7 42.0 85.8 -0.1 61.3 55.8
J. Edwards J. Edwards G 21 27.0 16.9 3.0 3.0 0.8 0.0 1.7 12.7 9.3 -17 -1.2 -14.4 43.2 32.8 78.6 0.35 56.9 51.3
Stefan Vaaks Stefan Vaaks - 29 31.5 16.0 2.6 3.1 0.8 0.2 1.9 12.3 8.6 19 0.9 1.8 40.4 35.6 84.1 0.57 57.4 52.4
Jamier Jones Jamier Jones - 29 26.1 11.6 4.6 1.4 0.8 0.3 1.8 7.7 9.1 47 2.2 6.8 54.5 36.7 66.1 1.07 60.6 57.0
R. Mela R. Mela - 31 26.6 10.1 5.5 2.0 0.8 0.1 1.6 7.3 9.5 -12 -0.5 -1.5 51.3 30.8 80.0 -0.14 59.7 54.9
C. Floyd Jr. C. Floyd Jr. - 22 25.2 7.6 3.9 2.5 0.5 0.2 1.6 6.1 6.9 -388 -1.2 -419.1 43.7 39.5 80.0 -0.1 54.7 50.0
O. Erhunmwunse O. Erhunmwunse - 31 25.0 6.8 8.4 0.8 0.3 2.0 1.3 4.5 12.6 172 1.3 21.5 66.2 0 50.9 0.81 65.0 66.2
D. Powell D. Powell - 20 17.1 4.8 3.0 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.7 4.2 4.3 -71 -0.9 -161.8 36.9 31.1 61.5 0.06 50.8 48.2
Jaylen Harrell Jaylen Harrell - 6 8.8 3.7 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.7 2.2 24 4.0 22.4 50.0 27.3 100.0 0.4 63.5 59.4
N. Daniels N. Daniels - 20 9.8 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 1.1 2.5 16 1.8 12.7 47.8 47.6 77.8 0.18 72.3 69.6
C. Hargrove C. Hargrove F 27 13.1 1.6 2.8 0.5 0.2 0.6 0.5 1.2 4.0 -18 -0.9 -6.4 50.0 0.0 61.1 -0.19 53.9 50.0
Peteris Pinnis Peteris Pinnis - 16 4.3 0.9 1.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.3 11 1.2 10.5 58.3 0 33.3 0.07 56.3 58.3
Jack Williams Jack Williams - 7 1.9 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.1 8 2.7 59.6 33.3 33.3 0 0.15 50.0 50.0
D. Davis D. Davis G 1 11.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 7 0.5 2.2 0 0 0.0 -0.51 0.0 0
R. Barron R. Barron F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG