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2026-02-14

Model Predictions

Model St. John's Red Storm Providence Friars Spread Result
Elo 85.9% 14.1% -
Bradley-Terry 82.7% 17.3% -
Margin 84.5% 15.5% -9.3 (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 57.9% 42.1% -
Efficiency 75.0% 25.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 88.2% 11.8% -
Log Adjusted 88.2% 11.8% -
Points Off/Def 68.6% 31.4% -

Actual: Providence Friars -10 (69-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

St. John's Red Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Hopkins 35 3-14 0-2 3-4 9 1 2 0 1 9 6 -
Z. Ejiofor 32 4-7 0-1 6-9 4 3 1 0 2 14 13 -
O. Sellers 32 5-11 0-2 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 11 4 -
D. Darling 27 6-11 3-5 8-9 8 0 3 0 0 23 23 -
D. Mitchell 24 2-6 0-1 1-2 6 6 3 0 1 5 13 -
J. Sanon 18 2-6 1-3 0-2 2 0 1 1 0 5 3 -
I. Jackson 15 3-8 1-4 2-2 1 0 0 1 0 9 3 -
R. Prey 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 2 0 0 3 -
L. Liotopoulos 8 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
K. Odih 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Providence Friars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Mela 38 5-13 0-2 4-4 9 3 1 1 2 14 13 -
S. Vaaks 34 5-19 3-12 7-8 5 3 1 0 2 20 8 -
J. Jones 26 3-11 0-2 6-8 2 1 1 1 5 12 1 -
O. Erhunmwunse 23 3-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 2 1 7 9 -
J. Sellers 20 5-15 1-5 2-2 7 0 0 0 2 13 3 -
N. Daniels 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 3 -
D. Powell 16 1-2 1-2 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 3 8 -
C. Hargrove 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
P. Pinnis 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
J. Williams 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter