🐻⬇️🏀

@
2026-01-27

Model Predictions

Model Providence Friars UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 7.3% 92.7% -
Bradley-Terry 7.6% 92.4% -
Margin 6.7% 93.3% +14.5 (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 35.4% 64.6% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 3.6% 96.4% -
Log Adjusted 3.5% 96.5% -
Points Off/Def 19.9% 80.1% -

Actual: UConn Huskies +6 (87-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Providence Friars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Vaaks 35 4-14 1-6 3-5 1 3 0 1 3 12 0 -11.5
J. Jones 33 7-11 2-3 4-4 7 4 0 0 3 20 17 -12.2
J. Sellers 33 3-10 0-1 12-13 7 2 1 0 2 18 16 -5.4
R. Mela 26 1-2 0-0 4-6 0 0 1 0 1 6 4 -5.7
O. Erhunmwunse 25 7-9 0-0 0-0 10 0 1 4 1 14 19 -4.6
N. Daniels 16 2-2 2-2 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 7 7 +0.0
C. Floyd Jr. 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 -0.4
P. Pinnis 10 2-2 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 1 0 4 7 +0.3
D. Powell 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -3.6

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Karaban 38 3-14 2-5 0-0 9 7 2 2 1 8 13 +8.5
S. Ball 34 5-18 2-10 5-5 2 1 0 0 4 17 -2 +6.0
S. Demary Jr. 33 3-6 3-5 6-8 4 6 1 0 0 15 20 +6.3
M. Smith 30 4-8 4-4 0-1 1 7 2 1 0 12 15 +6.4
E. Reibe 21 6-6 0-0 2-3 8 0 1 2 0 14 19 -0.3
T. Reed Jr. 19 8-9 0-0 3-9 6 1 1 4 1 19 21 +10.3
J. Ross 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 +6.2
J. Stewart 11 0-3 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 2 -1 +4.7

* = starter