Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | Providence Friars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.2% | 36.8% | -3.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.5% | 5.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Providence Friars -6 (82-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Lewis | 35 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | +1.8 |
| T. Perkins | 31 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | +0.8 |
| D. Brennan | 30 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 16 | -1.9 |
| D. Askew | 27 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 17 | +2.7 |
| M. Hodge | 25 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +0.0 |
| B. Lindsay | 24 | 2-10 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | -7.1 |
| M. Palmer | 24 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | +6.8 |
| B. Pierce | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4.0 |
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Vaaks | 37 | 8-14 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 9 | -4.1 |
| J. Sellers | 35 | 9-18 | 4-12 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 11 | -3.8 |
| J. Jones | 31 | 8-12 | 0-2 | 7-10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 12 | +11.1 |
| C. Floyd Jr. | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5.8 |
| D. Powell | 23 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3.8 |
| R. Mela | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | -1.7 |
| O. Erhunmwunse | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | +10.3 |
| C. Hargrove | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
* = starter