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2025-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Providence Friars Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 17.1% 82.9% -
Bradley-Terry 11.6% 88.4% -
Margin 3.3% 96.7% +18.5 (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 34.5% 65.5% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.1% 98.9% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 14.4% 85.6% -

Actual: Florida Gators +12 (90-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Providence Friars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Vaaks * 32 4-10 2-6 0-1 4 1 1 0 3 10 3 +5.9
C. Floyd Jr. * 30 5-10 0-2 2-3 4 1 0 0 1 12 6 -10.5
R. Mela * 29 5-11 0-1 7-8 8 3 2 0 1 17 18 -13.4
J. Sellers * 23 5-8 3-3 1-2 5 0 1 0 0 14 12 -20.1
C. Hargrove * 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -2.0
J. Edwards 25 4-13 1-3 4-4 2 2 0 0 1 13 3 -15.0
P. Pinnis 15 1-1 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 0 0 3 9 +3.1
J. Jones 13 0-1 0-0 5-6 1 1 0 0 2 5 4 -4.3
O. Erhunmwunse 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -6.2
J. Harrell 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 +6.4
N. Daniels 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 +4.1

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
X. Lee * 36 7-16 4-9 2-2 7 4 0 0 2 20 13 +9.4
B. Fland * 35 6-18 4-10 1-2 2 3 0 1 1 17 4 +13.2
T. Haugh * 34 3-9 1-5 9-11 12 5 1 1 2 16 24 +17.1
R. Chinyelu * 25 4-7 0-0 5-7 10 1 0 1 3 13 15 +9.1
M. Handlogten * 24 0-1 0-1 0-0 6 3 0 1 0 0 9 +2.5
U. Klavzar 30 5-12 3-8 5-5 1 1 0 0 0 18 8 +4.0
I. Brown 12 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 6 6 +6.2
V. Mikic 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -2.3

* = starter