Model Predictions
| Model | Providence Friars | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.5% | 79.5% | +7.4 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +14 (87-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Vaaks | 33 | 10-18 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 11 | -9.5 |
| R. Mela | 32 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 12 | -5.1 |
| O. Erhunmwunse | 30 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | -10.9 |
| J. Sellers | 29 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 3 | -14.9 |
| J. Jones | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -10.3 |
| N. Daniels | 22 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6.5 |
| D. Powell | 20 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -12.3 |
| C. Hargrove | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1.0 |
| P. Pinnis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.1 |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Lewis | 33 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | +13.3 |
| M. Hodge | 32 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +17.7 |
| T. Perkins | 31 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 4-7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 14 | +8.6 |
| D. Brennan | 29 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | +8.9 |
| D. Askew | 25 | 6-9 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 18 | +6.2 |
| B. Lindsay | 25 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | +15.7 |
| M. Palmer | 12 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -0.3 |
| B. Pierce | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +6.9 |
| C. Jeffrey | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter