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Providence Friars 72
@
St. John's Red Storm 85
2026-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Providence Friars St. John's Red Storm Spread Result
Elo 7.6% 92.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 10.5% 89.5% - ✓
Margin 7.5% 92.5% +13.8 ✓ (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 36.1% 63.9% - ✓
Efficiency 19.0% 81.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 5.8% 94.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 5.8% 94.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 21.0% 79.0% - ✓

Actual: St. John's Red Storm +13 (85-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Providence Friars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Vaaks 36 7-12 5-9 4-6 5 1 0 0 0 23 17 -
R. Mela 36 7-14 0-1 2-3 4 1 1 0 1 16 7 -
J. Sellers 36 6-17 0-4 9-10 6 1 2 0 3 21 10 -
J. Jones 30 3-7 0-0 0-1 4 0 1 0 1 6 3 -
C. Hargrove 22 1-1 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 2 1 2 9 -
O. Erhunmwunse 19 1-3 0-0 0-3 2 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
C. Floyd Jr. 10 0-2 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
N. Daniels 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
P. Pinnis 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Williams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

St. John's Red Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Sellers 32 6-12 2-6 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 14 7 -
B. Hopkins 28 6-10 1-4 1-2 13 1 1 1 1 14 19 -
J. Sanon 26 2-9 2-7 2-2 3 0 1 0 0 8 3 -
D. Darling 26 0-8 0-3 0-0 3 2 2 0 2 0 -3 -
Z. Ejiofor 23 9-14 0-2 3-4 10 5 0 3 1 21 24 -
I. Jackson 19 4-11 2-4 4-4 3 2 0 0 1 14 7 -
R. Prey 19 2-5 0-1 2-3 2 2 0 1 1 6 5 -
D. Mitchell 14 3-6 0-0 0-2 8 2 1 0 1 6 10 -
S. Ibine Ayo 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 2 2 -
L. Liotopoulos 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter