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2026-01-07

Model Predictions

Model UConn Huskies Providence Friars Spread Result
Elo 86.5% 13.5% -
Bradley-Terry 87.2% 12.8% -
Margin 86.1% 13.9% -10.0 (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 58.6% 41.4% -
Efficiency 93.0% 7.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 90.4% 9.6% -
Log Adjusted 90.5% 9.5% -
Points Off/Def 69.9% 30.1% -

Actual: Providence Friars -5 (98-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Demary Jr. 41 7-11 4-6 5-5 3 15 5 0 1 23 34 +9.3
B. Mullins 41 8-14 6-10 2-3 2 3 2 0 2 24 15 +12.5
A. Karaban 41 8-18 5-9 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 23 8 +10.1
T. Reed Jr. 37 8-13 0-0 4-6 8 1 3 2 2 20 19 +11.8
J. Stewart 27 1-2 1-1 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 3 6 +9.8
S. Ball 25 3-10 2-5 2-2 3 1 1 0 3 10 2 -1.4
E. Reibe 8 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -2.2
M. Smith 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 4 -0.1
J. Ross 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.0

Providence Friars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Vaaks 36 3-9 2-7 3-4 4 3 2 0 0 11 11 -13.6
C. Floyd Jr. 30 4-7 2-3 2-2 4 4 0 0 3 12 10 +4.2
J. Jones 29 6-9 3-4 3-6 3 1 0 0 2 18 11 -9.9
J. Edwards 28 3-9 2-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 8 0 -6.0
O. Erhunmwunse 27 4-8 0-0 0-1 7 1 0 2 1 8 9 -9.1
R. Mela 26 5-9 1-1 8-9 3 1 0 0 1 19 13 -11.0
J. Sellers 26 3-6 1-1 4-5 2 2 2 0 6 11 5 -4.2
D. Powell 13 4-7 3-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 11 7 +0.8
C. Hargrove 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 +1.2

* = starter