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2026-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Creighton Bluejays Providence Friars Spread Result
Elo 34.1% 65.9% -
Bradley-Terry 47.5% 52.5% -
Margin 37.2% 62.8% +2.9 (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 44.8% 55.2% -
Efficiency 54.3% 45.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.9% 56.1% -
Log Adjusted 43.9% 56.1% -
Points Off/Def 41.9% 58.1% -

Actual: Providence Friars +5 (93-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Green 35 8-10 1-1 9-11 7 4 1 1 1 26 28 +1.0
J. Dix 33 6-12 3-6 2-2 3 2 2 0 0 17 12 -3.0
A. Swartz 27 1-13 0-8 4-5 3 1 0 0 4 6 -7 -5.1
B. Harper 26 4-10 2-4 6-7 8 4 1 0 1 16 18 -4.8
N. Graves 25 5-10 2-5 1-2 4 2 0 0 3 13 6 -2.0
F. Zugic 20 2-4 1-2 2-2 0 1 1 0 0 7 5 -0.0
I. Traudt 14 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 3 1 +1.2
Ty Davis 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 3 -2.0
K. Konan 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 1 -5.0
H. Greer 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Providence Friars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Vaaks 37 8-18 2-10 6-6 2 7 1 0 1 24 15 +4.3
J. Jones 34 8-16 0-0 2-6 11 0 3 0 1 18 15 +4.5
D. Powell 32 3-9 3-8 1-2 7 0 1 0 1 10 8 +5.1
C. Floyd Jr. 29 2-5 0-2 5-7 5 3 1 1 4 9 10 -
R. Mela 24 4-5 1-1 5-6 4 1 0 0 1 14 13 -1.9
O. Erhunmwunse 23 6-9 0-0 2-4 13 0 0 1 0 14 19 -0.0
J. Sellers 18 0-7 0-4 4-4 0 1 0 1 1 4 -2 +5.0
N. Daniels 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 3 +4.0

* = starter